La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -19.21%E -11.30%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +12.83%E +5.97%K +11.16%G +1.43% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 17:11 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -19.21%E -11.30%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +12.83%E +5.97%K +11.16%G +1.43% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 17:11 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -19.21%E -11.30%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +12.83%E +5.97%K +11.16%G +1.43% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 17:11 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -17.79%E -10.28%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV +10.73%E +5.09%K +9.67%G +1.04% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 17:11 |
| DraftKings | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -15.41%E -8.66%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +8.11%E +3.94%K +7.65%G +0.620% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 17:11 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -15.89%E -8.98%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +7.58%E +3.70%K +7.22%G +0.547% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -12.09%E -6.53%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +2.33%E +1.20%K +2.46%G +0.057% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV +1.28%E +0.665%K +1.38%G +0.018% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 17:05 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +1.28%E +0.665%K +1.38%G +0.018% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.56%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV +0.760%E +0.396%K +0.826%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 16:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.235%E +0.123%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 16:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.235%E +0.123%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.46%E -8.03%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.235%E +0.123%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 17:14 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.46%E -8.03%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.235%E +0.123%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 17:10 |
| Neds | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.997%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.997%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 17:05 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.997%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 17:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.14%E -5.95%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.997%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 17:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 17:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 17:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 17:03 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:59 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 17:03 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.28%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.66%E -5.67%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 17:00 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -12.09%E -6.53%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.48%E -2.23%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.96%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 17:05 |
| GTbets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.43%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.96%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 16:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.96%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -9.71%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.01%E -2.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 17:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 17:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -12.56%E -6.83%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.28%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.206%E -0.098%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.745%E +0.351%K +0.665%G +0.005% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.21%E -5.32%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.206%E -0.098%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.21%E -5.32%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.21%E -5.32%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 17:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.21%E -5.32%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.66%E -5.67%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.26%E -6.00%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -1.16%E -0.556%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -10.79%E -6.34%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.79%E -6.34%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.79%E -6.34%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -11.31%E -6.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -11.31%E -6.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.206%E -0.098%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.36%E -7.40%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 0.3% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 17:11 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18% | 2.9% | 2026-05-12 17:11 |
| Novig | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 17:15 |