La scuola delle quote

Caty McNally v Iga Swiatek

Inizio: 2026-05-08 09:16 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Caty McNally (Casa)

Previsione 21.32%4.69quota equa
EV +70.59%
Vantaggio +8.82%
Kelly +10.08%
Crescita +7.12%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.09%20.41%22.26%26.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.505.164.508.0028.57%19.38%22.22%12.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Iga Swiatek (Trasferta)

Previsione 78.68%1.27quota equa
EV +1.49%
Vantaggio +1.16%
Kelly +5.15%
Crescita +0.077%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.07%79.59%77.74%87.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.071.171.201.2993.46%85.42%83.33%77.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +70.59%E +8.82%K +10.08%G +7.12%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 09:05
Pinnacle7.71I 12.97%NM 12.59%EV +64.40%E +8.35%K +9.60%G +6.18%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.41%EV -12.67%E -11.41%K -115.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 09:10
Winamax (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +54.60%E +7.53%K +8.74%G +4.77%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -14.24%E -13.07%K -158.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +54.60%E +7.53%K +8.74%G +4.77%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -15.82%E -14.78%K -225.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 09:05
Neds7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +54.60%E +7.53%K +8.74%G +4.77%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -15.82%E -14.78%K -225.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 09:05
NetBet (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +54.60%E +7.53%K +8.74%G +4.77%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -15.82%E -14.78%K -225.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 08:58
ReBet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +53.53%E +7.43%K +8.63%G +4.62%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 08:58
1xBet7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV +49.90%E +7.10%K +8.28%G +4.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:02
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +49.27%E +7.04%K +8.21%G +4.05%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 09:05
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +49.27%E +7.04%K +8.21%G +4.05%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:59
GTbets6.99I 14.31%NM 13.60%EV +49.05%E +7.02%K +8.19%G +4.02%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.40%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:59
LowVig.ag6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +46.28%E +6.75%K +7.90%G +3.65%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -11.88%E -10.61%K -99.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 09:05
BetOnline.ag6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +46.28%E +6.75%K +7.90%G +3.65%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -11.88%E -10.61%K -99.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 09:05
Marathon Bet6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV +45.00%E +6.62%K +7.76%G +3.49%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 08:59
Bet Right6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +43.93%E +6.51%K +7.64%G +3.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -12.67%E -11.41%K -115.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:04
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +38.60%E +5.94%K +7.02%G +2.71%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -12.67%E -11.41%K -115.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 09:04
Unibet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +38.60%E +5.94%K +7.02%G +2.71%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 09:05
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +38.60%E +5.94%K +7.02%G +2.71%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 09:04
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +27.94%E +4.66%K +5.59%G +1.56%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -11.88%E -10.61%K -99.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 09:05
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +27.94%E +4.66%K +5.59%G +1.56%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 09:02
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +23.68%E +4.08%K +4.93%G +1.17%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -10.31%E -9.04%K -73.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +11.95%E +2.28%K +2.81%G +0.336%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -10.31%E -9.04%K -73.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 09:15
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +6.62%E +1.32%K +1.65%G +0.109%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.52%E -8.28%K -63.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:14
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +1.29%E +0.271%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.74%E -7.53%K -54.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Fliff4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.74%E -7.53%K -54.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 09:14
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 09:15
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.31%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 09:15
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.31%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 09:15
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.37%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.37%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.37%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 09:15
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.37%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 09:15
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.16%E -6.07%K -39.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.65%E -1.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 09:14
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:14
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 09:15
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -8.74%E -7.53%K -54.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 09:14
DraftKings3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -16.62%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.63%EV -0.868%E -0.689%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:14
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -20.04%E -5.34%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.65%E -1.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 09:15
Fanatics3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -20.04%E -5.34%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Betclic (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -21.10%E -5.70%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -23.24%E -6.45%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -1.65%E -1.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 09:15
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -25.37%E -7.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +1.49%E +1.16%K +5.15%G +0.077%6.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-08 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%3.3%2026-05-08 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Novig4.07I 24.57%NM 23.06%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.94%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15