مدرسة الاحتمالات

Caty McNally v Iga Swiatek

البداية: 2026-05-08 09:16 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Caty McNally (المضيف)

التنبؤ 21.32%4.69السعر العادل
EV +70.59%
الأفضلية +8.82%
Kelly +10.08%
النمو +7.12%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.09%20.41%22.26%26.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.505.164.508.0028.57%19.38%22.22%12.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Iga Swiatek (الضيف)

التنبؤ 78.68%1.27السعر العادل
EV +1.49%
الأفضلية +1.16%
Kelly +5.15%
النمو +0.077%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
73.07%79.59%77.74%87.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.071.171.201.2993.46%85.42%83.33%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +70.59%E +8.82%K +10.08%G +7.12%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 09:05
Pinnacle7.71I 12.97%NM 12.59%EV +64.40%E +8.35%K +9.60%G +6.18%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.41%EV -12.67%E -11.41%K -115.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 09:10
Winamax (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +54.60%E +7.53%K +8.74%G +4.77%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -14.24%E -13.07%K -158.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +54.60%E +7.53%K +8.74%G +4.77%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -15.82%E -14.78%K -225.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 09:05
Neds7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +54.60%E +7.53%K +8.74%G +4.77%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -15.82%E -14.78%K -225.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 09:05
NetBet (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +54.60%E +7.53%K +8.74%G +4.77%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -15.82%E -14.78%K -225.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 08:58
ReBet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +53.53%E +7.43%K +8.63%G +4.62%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 08:58
1xBet7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV +49.90%E +7.10%K +8.28%G +4.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 09:02
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +49.27%E +7.04%K +8.21%G +4.05%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 09:05
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +49.27%E +7.04%K +8.21%G +4.05%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:59
GTbets6.99I 14.31%NM 13.60%EV +49.05%E +7.02%K +8.19%G +4.02%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.40%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:59
LowVig.ag6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +46.28%E +6.75%K +7.90%G +3.65%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -11.88%E -10.61%K -99.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 09:05
BetOnline.ag6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +46.28%E +6.75%K +7.90%G +3.65%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -11.88%E -10.61%K -99.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 09:05
Marathon Bet6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV +45.00%E +6.62%K +7.76%G +3.49%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 08:59
Bet Right6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +43.93%E +6.51%K +7.64%G +3.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -12.67%E -11.41%K -115.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:04
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +38.60%E +5.94%K +7.02%G +2.71%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -12.67%E -11.41%K -115.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 09:04
Unibet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +38.60%E +5.94%K +7.02%G +2.71%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 09:05
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +38.60%E +5.94%K +7.02%G +2.71%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 09:04
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +27.94%E +4.66%K +5.59%G +1.56%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -11.88%E -10.61%K -99.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 09:05
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +27.94%E +4.66%K +5.59%G +1.56%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 09:02
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +23.68%E +4.08%K +4.93%G +1.17%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -10.31%E -9.04%K -73.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +11.95%E +2.28%K +2.81%G +0.336%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -10.31%E -9.04%K -73.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 09:15
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +6.62%E +1.32%K +1.65%G +0.109%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.52%E -8.28%K -63.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:14
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +1.29%E +0.271%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.74%E -7.53%K -54.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Fliff4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.74%E -7.53%K -54.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 09:14
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 09:15
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.31%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 09:15
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.31%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 09:15
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.37%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.37%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.37%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 09:15
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.37%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 09:15
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.16%E -6.07%K -39.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.65%E -1.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 09:14
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:14
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 09:15
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -8.74%E -7.53%K -54.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 09:14
DraftKings3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -16.62%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.63%EV -0.868%E -0.689%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:14
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -20.04%E -5.34%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.65%E -1.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 09:15
Fanatics3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -20.04%E -5.34%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Betclic (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -21.10%E -5.70%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -23.24%E -6.45%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -1.65%E -1.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 09:15
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -25.37%E -7.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +1.49%E +1.16%K +5.15%G +0.077%6.1%2026-05-08 09:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-08 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-08 09:15
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%3.3%2026-05-08 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Novig4.07I 24.57%NM 23.06%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.94%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15