La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Caty McNally v Iga Swiatek
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Caty McNally (Local)
Predicción 21.32%4.69momio equitativo
EV +70.59%
Ventaja +8.82%
Kelly +10.08%
Crecimiento +7.12%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.09%20.41%22.26%26.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.505.164.508.0028.57%19.38%22.22%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Iga Swiatek (Visitante)
Predicción 78.68%1.27momio equitativo
EV +1.49%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +5.15%
Crecimiento +0.077%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.07%79.59%77.74%87.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.171.201.2993.46%85.42%83.33%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +70.59%E +8.82%K +10.08%G +7.12% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Pinnacle | 7.71I 12.97%NM 12.59%EV +64.40%E +8.35%K +9.60%G +6.18% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.41%EV -12.67%E -11.41%K -115.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +54.60%E +7.53%K +8.74%G +4.77% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -14.24%E -13.07%K -158.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +54.60%E +7.53%K +8.74%G +4.77% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -15.82%E -14.78%K -225.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Neds | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +54.60%E +7.53%K +8.74%G +4.77% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -15.82%E -14.78%K -225.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +54.60%E +7.53%K +8.74%G +4.77% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -15.82%E -14.78%K -225.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 08:58 |
| ReBet | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +53.53%E +7.43%K +8.63%G +4.62% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 08:58 |
| 1xBet | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV +49.90%E +7.10%K +8.28%G +4.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 09:02 |
| SportsBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +49.27%E +7.04%K +8.21%G +4.05% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +49.27%E +7.04%K +8.21%G +4.05% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:59 |
| GTbets | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.60%EV +49.05%E +7.02%K +8.19%G +4.02% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.40%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +46.28%E +6.75%K +7.90%G +3.65% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -11.88%E -10.61%K -99.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +46.28%E +6.75%K +7.90%G +3.65% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -11.88%E -10.61%K -99.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV +45.00%E +6.62%K +7.76%G +3.49% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 08:59 |
| Bet Right | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +43.93%E +6.51%K +7.64%G +3.36% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -12.67%E -11.41%K -115.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +38.60%E +5.94%K +7.02%G +2.71% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -12.67%E -11.41%K -115.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +38.60%E +5.94%K +7.02%G +2.71% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +38.60%E +5.94%K +7.02%G +2.71% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| PlayUp | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +27.94%E +4.66%K +5.59%G +1.56% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -11.88%E -10.61%K -99.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +27.94%E +4.66%K +5.59%G +1.56% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -13.46%E -12.23%K -134.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 09:02 |
| FanDuel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +23.68%E +4.08%K +4.93%G +1.17% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -10.31%E -9.04%K -73.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +11.95%E +2.28%K +2.81%G +0.336% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -10.31%E -9.04%K -73.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +6.62%E +1.32%K +1.65%G +0.109% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.52%E -8.28%K -63.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| BetMGM | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +1.29%E +0.271%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.74%E -7.53%K -54.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Fliff | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.04%E -0.899%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.74%E -7.53%K -54.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Coral | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.18%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| TABtouch | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.24%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.80%E -3.97%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.31%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| BetRivers | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.31%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| NordicBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.37%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betsson | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.37%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.37%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| LeoVegas | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.37%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Grosvenor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Caesars | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Bally Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.44%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.16%E -6.07%K -39.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.65%E -1.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.71%E -3.68%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -8.74%E -7.53%K -54.60%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| DraftKings | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -16.62%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.63%EV -0.868%E -0.689%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -20.04%E -5.34%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.65%E -1.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Fanatics | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -20.04%E -5.34%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -21.10%E -5.70%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.01%E -3.29%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -23.24%E -6.45%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -1.65%E -1.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -25.37%E -7.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +1.49%E +1.16%K +5.15%G +0.077% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 3.3% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Novig | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.06% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.94% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |