Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.29
assuming max odds 6.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belinda Bencic (Local): 81.59%; Bianca Andreescu (Visit): 18.41%. For Bianca Andreescu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.43. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.45%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +5.25%E +4.07%K +18.12%G +0.952% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -33.73%E -9.37%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV +4.44%E +3.47%K +15.85%G +0.703% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -29.50%E -7.70%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV +4.44%E +3.47%K +15.85%G +0.703% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -29.50%E -7.70%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV +4.44%E +3.47%K +15.85%G +0.703% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -33.73%E -9.37%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV +3.62%E +2.85%K +13.41%G +0.486% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -26.37%E -6.59%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV +3.62%E +2.85%K +13.41%G +0.486% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -29.68%E -7.77%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV +3.62%E +2.85%K +13.41%G +0.486% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -30.97%E -8.26%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV +2.81%E +2.23%K +10.79%G +0.303% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -24.16%E -5.86%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 16:37 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV +2.81%E +2.23%K +10.79%G +0.303% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -28.21%E -7.23%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 16:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV +2.81%E +2.23%K +10.79%G +0.303% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -29.13%E -7.57%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV +2.81%E +2.23%K +10.79%G +0.303% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -29.31%E -7.63%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -26.18%E -6.53%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 16:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -28.21%E -7.23%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 16:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -29.13%E -7.57%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 16:32 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -33.73%E -9.37%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -33.73%E -9.37%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV +1.17%E +0.947%K +4.89%G +0.057% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -29.13%E -7.57%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 16:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -0.458%E -0.375%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -30.97%E -8.26%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 16:28 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -1.27%E -1.05%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -29.13%E -7.57%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 16:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.54%E -3.88%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.54%E -3.88%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.12%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.54%E -3.88%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.12%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.54%E -3.88%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.36%E -0.640%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.56%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.62%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.38%EV +7.13%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.106% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -3.36%E -0.640%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -11.64%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -12.56%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.80%E -6.90%K -60.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.80%E -6.90%K -60.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -7.80%E -6.90%K -60.01%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -7.04%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +5.85%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -13.48%E -2.87%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -15.32%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.43%E -8.50%K -85.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +10.45%E +1.74%K +2.09%G +0.218% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.01% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.99% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 16:40 |