L’École des cotes

Belinda Bencic v Bianca Andreescu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 16:44 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Belinda Bencic (Local)

Prévision 81.59%1.23cote équitable
EV +5.25%
Avantage +4.07%
Kelly +18.12%
Croissance +0.952%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.62%80.59%81.53%84.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.181.151.2990.09%84.72%86.96%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bianca Andreescu (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.41%5.43cote équitable
EV +10.45%
Avantage +1.74%
Kelly +2.09%
Croissance +0.218%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.61%19.41%18.47%26.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.724.956.0027.78%21.17%20.20%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +5.25%E +4.07%K +18.12%G +0.952%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -33.73%E -9.37%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:25
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV +4.44%E +3.47%K +15.85%G +0.703%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -29.50%E -7.70%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV +4.44%E +3.47%K +15.85%G +0.703%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -29.50%E -7.70%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 16:30
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV +4.44%E +3.47%K +15.85%G +0.703%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -33.73%E -9.37%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 16:35
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV +3.62%E +2.85%K +13.41%G +0.486%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -26.37%E -6.59%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 16:35
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV +3.62%E +2.85%K +13.41%G +0.486%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -29.68%E -7.77%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:25
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV +3.62%E +2.85%K +13.41%G +0.486%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -30.97%E -8.26%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:29
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV +2.81%E +2.23%K +10.79%G +0.303%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -24.16%E -5.86%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 16:37
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV +2.81%E +2.23%K +10.79%G +0.303%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -28.21%E -7.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 16:19
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV +2.81%E +2.23%K +10.79%G +0.303%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -29.13%E -7.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:30
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV +2.81%E +2.23%K +10.79%G +0.303%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -29.31%E -7.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:29
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -26.18%E -6.53%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:24
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -28.21%E -7.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 16:19
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -29.13%E -7.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 16:32
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -33.73%E -9.37%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -33.73%E -9.37%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 16:25
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV +1.17%E +0.947%K +4.89%G +0.057%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -29.13%E -7.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 16:30
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -0.458%E -0.375%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -30.97%E -8.26%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 16:28
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -1.27%E -1.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -29.13%E -7.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 16:34
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.54%E -3.88%K -26.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.54%E -3.88%K -26.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.12%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:40
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.54%E -3.88%K -26.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.12%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:40
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.54%E -3.88%K -26.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:40
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:40
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:40
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:39
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:40
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 16:40
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003%5.1%2026-05-07 16:40
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003%5.1%2026-05-07 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.36%E -0.640%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 16:39
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 16:40
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 16:40
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 16:40
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 16:40
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 16:40
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 16:40
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 16:40
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.56%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 16:40
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.62%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.38%EV +7.13%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.106%4.9%2026-05-07 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -3.36%E -0.640%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 16:40
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:40
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:40
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:40
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -11.64%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -12.56%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.80%E -6.90%K -60.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003%6.7%2026-05-07 16:40
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.80%E -6.90%K -60.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003%6.7%2026-05-07 16:40
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -7.80%E -6.90%K -60.01%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -7.04%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 16:40
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +5.85%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072%6.7%2026-05-07 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003%7.5%2026-05-07 16:40
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003%7.5%2026-05-07 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-07 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -13.48%E -2.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-07 16:40
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -15.32%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-07 16:40
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.43%E -8.50%K -85.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +10.45%E +1.74%K +2.09%G +0.218%6.8%2026-05-07 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-05-07 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-05-07 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-05-07 16:40
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-05-07 16:40
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-05-07 16:40
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 83.01%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.99%4.8%2026-05-07 16:40