La escuela de los momios

Belinda Bencic v Bianca Andreescu

Inicio: 2026-05-07 16:44 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Belinda Bencic (Local)

Predicción 81.59%1.23momio equitativo
EV +5.25%
Ventaja +4.07%
Kelly +18.12%
Crecimiento +0.952%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.62%80.59%81.53%84.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.181.151.2990.09%84.72%86.96%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bianca Andreescu (Visitante)

Predicción 18.41%5.43momio equitativo
EV +10.45%
Ventaja +1.74%
Kelly +2.09%
Crecimiento +0.218%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.61%19.41%18.47%26.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.724.956.0027.78%21.17%20.20%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV +5.25%E +4.07%K +18.12%G +0.952%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -33.73%E -9.37%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:25
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV +4.44%E +3.47%K +15.85%G +0.703%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -29.50%E -7.70%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV +4.44%E +3.47%K +15.85%G +0.703%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -29.50%E -7.70%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 16:30
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV +4.44%E +3.47%K +15.85%G +0.703%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -33.73%E -9.37%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 16:35
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV +3.62%E +2.85%K +13.41%G +0.486%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -26.37%E -6.59%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 16:35
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV +3.62%E +2.85%K +13.41%G +0.486%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -29.68%E -7.77%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:25
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV +3.62%E +2.85%K +13.41%G +0.486%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -30.97%E -8.26%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:29
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV +2.81%E +2.23%K +10.79%G +0.303%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -24.16%E -5.86%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 16:37
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV +2.81%E +2.23%K +10.79%G +0.303%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -28.21%E -7.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 16:19
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV +2.81%E +2.23%K +10.79%G +0.303%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -29.13%E -7.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:30
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV +2.81%E +2.23%K +10.79%G +0.303%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -29.31%E -7.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:29
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -26.18%E -6.53%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:24
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -28.21%E -7.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 16:19
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -29.13%E -7.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 16:32
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -33.73%E -9.37%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV +1.99%E +1.59%K +7.96%G +0.158%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -33.73%E -9.37%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 16:25
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV +1.17%E +0.947%K +4.89%G +0.057%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -29.13%E -7.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 16:30
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -0.458%E -0.375%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -30.97%E -8.26%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 16:28
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -1.27%E -1.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -29.13%E -7.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 16:34
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.54%E -3.88%K -26.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.54%E -3.88%K -26.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.12%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:40
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.54%E -3.88%K -26.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.12%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:40
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.54%E -3.88%K -26.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:40
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:40
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:40
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:39
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 16:40
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.35%E -4.61%K -33.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 16:40
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003%5.1%2026-05-07 16:40
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003%5.1%2026-05-07 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.36%E -0.640%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 16:39
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 16:40
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.28%E -0.823%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 16:40
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 16:40
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 16:40
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 16:40
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 16:40
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.80%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 16:40
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.17%E -5.36%K -41.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.56%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 16:40
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.62%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.38%EV +7.13%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.106%4.9%2026-05-07 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -3.36%E -0.640%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 16:40
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:40
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:40
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:40
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -11.64%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.99%E -6.13%K -49.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -12.56%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.80%E -6.90%K -60.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003%6.7%2026-05-07 16:40
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.80%E -6.90%K -60.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003%6.7%2026-05-07 16:40
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -7.80%E -6.90%K -60.01%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -7.04%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 16:40
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +5.85%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072%6.7%2026-05-07 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003%7.5%2026-05-07 16:40
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.24%E +0.226%K +0.276%G +0.003%7.5%2026-05-07 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-07 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -13.48%E -2.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-07 16:40
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -8.62%E -7.69%K -71.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -15.32%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-07 16:40
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.43%E -8.50%K -85.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +10.45%E +1.74%K +2.09%G +0.218%6.8%2026-05-07 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-05-07 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-05-07 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-05-07 16:40
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-05-07 16:40
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-05-07 16:40
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 83.01%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.99%4.8%2026-05-07 16:40