Language:English
Belinda Bencic v Anna Kalinskaya
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Belinda Bencic (Local)
Prediction 71.83%1.39fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -6.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.44%71.66%71.73%73.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.89%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anna Kalinskaya (Visit)
Prediction 28.17%3.55fair odd
EV +1.99%
Edge +0.549%
Kelly +0.759%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%28.34%28.27%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.353.6233.33%29.73%29.85%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belinda Bencic (Local): 71.83%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 28.17%. For Anna Kalinskaya (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.98%EV -3.75%E -2.80%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.02%EV +1.99%E +0.549%K +0.759%G +0.015% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.34%E -5.69%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.42%E +0.396%K +0.548%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.75%E -2.80%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.75%E -2.80%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.91%E -4.51%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -1.68%E -0.480%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -1.68%E -0.480%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.91%E -4.51%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -2.80%E -0.812%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.80%E -0.812%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.80%E -0.812%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.80%E -0.812%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.78%E -6.91%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.75%E -2.80%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.91%E -4.51%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -9.00%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 19:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV -10.97%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.32%E -1.70%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 19:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.34% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.66% | 2.4% | 2026-05-09 19:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 19:20 |