La escuela de los momios

Belinda Bencic v Anna Kalinskaya

Inicio: 2026-05-09 19:25 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Belinda Bencic (Local)

Predicción 71.83%1.39momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -6.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.44%71.66%71.73%73.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.89%75.76%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Predicción 28.17%3.55momio equitativo
EV +1.99%
Ventaja +0.549%
Kelly +0.759%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.38%28.34%28.27%30.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.353.6233.33%29.73%29.85%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.98%EV -3.75%E -2.80%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.02%EV +1.99%E +0.549%K +0.759%G +0.015%2.3%2026-05-09 19:20
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.34%E -5.69%K -25.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.42%E +0.396%K +0.548%G +0.008%5.3%2026-05-09 19:15
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.75%E -2.80%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.75%E -2.80%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 19:20
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.91%E -4.51%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 19:20
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:19
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:20
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:19
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:20
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:19
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 19:15
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -1.68%E -0.480%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 19:19
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -1.68%E -0.480%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 19:19
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.91%E -4.51%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -2.80%E -0.812%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 19:19
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.80%E -0.812%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.80%E -0.812%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 19:14
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.80%E -0.812%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 19:14
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 19:19
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 19:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.78%E -6.91%K -32.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 19:19
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.75%E -2.80%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 19:14
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:20
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:20
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:19
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:19
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:19
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:19
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:19
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:20
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:20
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 19:19
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 19:19
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.91%E -4.51%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:19
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 19:19
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 19:20
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 19:20
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 19:19
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 19:19
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 19:09
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:20
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:19
Fliff1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 19:20
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -9.00%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:09
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 19:09
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 19:09
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV -10.97%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 19:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.32%E -1.70%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 19:20
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 19:18
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-09 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-09 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-05-09 19:20
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-05-09 19:20
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.34%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.66%2.4%2026-05-09 19:19
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-05-09 19:20