L’École des cotes

Belinda Bencic v Anna Kalinskaya

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 19:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Belinda Bencic (Local)

Prévision 71.83%1.39cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -6.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.44%71.66%71.73%73.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.89%75.76%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Kalinskaya (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.17%3.55cote équitable
EV +1.99%
Avantage +0.549%
Kelly +0.759%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 3.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.38%28.34%28.27%30.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.353.6233.33%29.73%29.85%27.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.98%EV -3.75%E -2.80%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.02%EV +1.99%E +0.549%K +0.759%G +0.015%2.3%2026-05-09 19:20
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.34%E -5.69%K -25.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.42%E +0.396%K +0.548%G +0.008%5.3%2026-05-09 19:15
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.75%E -2.80%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.75%E -2.80%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 19:20
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.91%E -4.51%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 19:20
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:19
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:20
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:19
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:20
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:19
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 19:15
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -1.68%E -0.480%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 19:19
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -1.68%E -0.480%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 19:19
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.91%E -4.51%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -2.80%E -0.812%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 19:19
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.80%E -0.812%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.80%E -0.812%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 19:14
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.80%E -0.812%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 19:14
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 19:19
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 19:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.78%E -6.91%K -32.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 19:19
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.75%E -2.80%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 19:14
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:20
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:20
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:19
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:19
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:19
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:19
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:19
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:20
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:20
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 19:19
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 19:19
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.91%E -4.51%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:19
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 19:19
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 19:20
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 19:20
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 19:19
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 19:19
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 19:09
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:20
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:19
Fliff1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.06%E -6.30%K -28.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 19:20
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -9.00%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:09
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 19:09
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 19:09
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -3.03%E -2.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV -10.97%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 19:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.32%E -1.70%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 19:20
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 19:18
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-09 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-09 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-05-09 19:20
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-05-09 19:20
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.34%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.66%2.4%2026-05-09 19:19
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-05-09 19:20