Language:English
Anna Kalinskaya v Jelena Ostapenko
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anna Kalinskaya (Local)
Prediction 44.68%2.24fair odd
EV +9.46%
Edge +3.86%
Kelly +6.52%
Growth +0.617%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.60%44.45%44.88%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.112.102.4552.08%47.46%47.62%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jelena Ostapenko (Visit)
Prediction 55.32%1.81fair odd
EV +5.12%
Edge +2.69%
Kelly +5.68%
Growth +0.291%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%55.55%55.12%61.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.701.701.9064.94%58.99%58.82%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Kalinskaya (Local): 44.68%; Jelena Ostapenko (Visit): 55.32%. For Anna Kalinskaya (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +9.46%E +3.86%K +6.52%G +0.617% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -14.80%E -9.61%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV +2.31%E +1.01%K +1.79%G +0.041% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.520%E +0.231%K +0.416%G +0.002% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.520%E +0.231%K +0.416%G +0.002% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.520%E +0.231%K +0.416%G +0.002% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -9.82%E -6.03%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.14%E -8.37%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.50%E -3.85%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.16%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.16%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 11:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -13.69%E -8.78%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -14.80%E -9.61%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.07%E -3.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.52%E -3.63%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.970%E -0.542%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 11:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.52%E -0.856%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 10:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.86%E -4.34%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.690%E +0.379%K +0.842%G +0.006% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 11:07 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.690%E +0.379%K +0.842%G +0.006% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 11:06 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.416%E -0.231%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 11:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 10:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.690%E +0.379%K +0.842%G +0.006% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 10:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.416%E -0.231%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.52%E -0.856%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 10:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 11:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 11:03 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 11:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 11:02 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 11:03 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.54%E -5.83%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.416%E -0.231%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 11:07 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.88%E -6.61%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.416%E -0.231%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 11:13 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.88%E -6.61%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 10:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -14.22%E -7.41%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV +5.12%E +2.69%K +5.68%G +0.291% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 10:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 11:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 11:15 |