L’École des cotes

Anna Kalinskaya v Jelena Ostapenko

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-11 11:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anna Kalinskaya (Local)

Prévision 44.68%2.24cote équitable
EV +9.46%
Avantage +3.86%
Kelly +6.52%
Croissance +0.617%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.60%44.45%44.88%49.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.112.102.4552.08%47.46%47.62%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jelena Ostapenko (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.32%1.81cote équitable
EV +5.12%
Avantage +2.69%
Kelly +5.68%
Croissance +0.291%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.26%55.55%55.12%61.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.701.701.9064.94%58.99%58.82%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +9.46%E +3.86%K +6.52%G +0.617%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -14.80%E -9.61%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 11:14
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV +2.31%E +1.01%K +1.79%G +0.041%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 11:15
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.520%E +0.231%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 11:15
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.520%E +0.231%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.520%E +0.231%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 11:15
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:15
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:14
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:15
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:15
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:14
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 11:15
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 11:14
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -9.82%E -6.03%K -15.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 11:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 11:15
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 11:14
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 11:14
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.14%E -8.37%K -23.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 11:14
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 11:15
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 11:14
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 11:14
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.50%E -3.85%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 11:14
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 11:15
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.16%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 11:14
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.16%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 11:14
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:14
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:14
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:14
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 11:10
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 11:14
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 11:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 11:14
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -13.69%E -8.78%K -24.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-11 11:15
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -14.80%E -9.61%K -27.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-11 11:14
PointsBet (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.07%E -3.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 11:14
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.52%E -3.63%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 11:14
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.970%E -0.542%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 11:08
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.52%E -0.856%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 10:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 11:15
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 11:15
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.86%E -4.34%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:59
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.690%E +0.379%K +0.842%G +0.006%4.5%2026-05-11 11:07
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.690%E +0.379%K +0.842%G +0.006%4.5%2026-05-11 11:06
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.416%E -0.231%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 11:03
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 10:59
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 11:14
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.690%E +0.379%K +0.842%G +0.006%4.9%2026-05-11 10:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.416%E -0.231%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:58
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.52%E -0.856%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 10:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 11:03
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 11:14
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 11:03
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 11:09
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 11:02
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 11:03
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-11 11:14
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.54%E -5.83%K -11.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.416%E -0.231%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 11:07
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.88%E -6.61%K -13.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.416%E -0.231%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 11:13
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.88%E -6.61%K -13.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 10:58
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -14.22%E -7.41%K -15.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV +5.12%E +2.69%K +5.68%G +0.291%4.7%2026-05-11 10:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-11 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-11 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-05-11 11:14
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-05-11 11:15
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%4.6%2026-05-11 11:14
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%6.9%2026-05-11 11:15