La escuela de los momios

Anna Kalinskaya v Jelena Ostapenko

Inicio: 2026-05-11 11:16 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Anna Kalinskaya (Local)

Predicción 44.68%2.24momio equitativo
EV +9.46%
Ventaja +3.86%
Kelly +6.52%
Crecimiento +0.617%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.60%44.45%44.88%49.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.922.112.102.4552.08%47.46%47.62%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jelena Ostapenko (Visitante)

Predicción 55.32%1.81momio equitativo
EV +5.12%
Ventaja +2.69%
Kelly +5.68%
Crecimiento +0.291%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.26%55.55%55.12%61.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.701.701.9064.94%58.99%58.82%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +9.46%E +3.86%K +6.52%G +0.617%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -14.80%E -9.61%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 11:14
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV +2.31%E +1.01%K +1.79%G +0.041%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 11:15
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.520%E +0.231%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 11:15
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.520%E +0.231%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.520%E +0.231%K +0.416%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 11:15
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:15
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:14
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:15
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:15
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.373%E -0.167%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:14
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 11:15
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 11:14
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -9.82%E -6.03%K -15.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 11:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 11:15
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 11:14
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 11:14
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.71%E -0.779%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.14%E -8.37%K -23.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 11:14
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 11:15
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 11:14
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 11:14
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.50%E -3.85%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 11:14
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.95%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 11:15
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.16%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 11:14
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.29%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.16%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 11:14
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:14
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:14
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 11:14
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 11:10
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 11:14
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 11:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 11:14
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -13.69%E -8.78%K -24.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-11 11:15
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -14.80%E -9.61%K -27.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-11 11:14
PointsBet (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.07%E -3.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 11:14
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.52%E -3.63%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 11:14
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.970%E -0.542%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 11:08
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.52%E -0.856%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 10:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 11:15
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 11:15
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.86%E -4.34%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:59
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.690%E +0.379%K +0.842%G +0.006%4.5%2026-05-11 11:07
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.690%E +0.379%K +0.842%G +0.006%4.5%2026-05-11 11:06
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.416%E -0.231%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 11:03
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 10:59
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.75%E -4.83%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 11:14
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +0.690%E +0.379%K +0.842%G +0.006%4.9%2026-05-11 10:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.416%E -0.231%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:58
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.52%E -0.856%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 10:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 11:03
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 11:14
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 11:03
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 11:09
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 11:02
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 11:03
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-11 11:14
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.54%E -5.83%K -11.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.416%E -0.231%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 11:07
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.88%E -6.61%K -13.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.416%E -0.231%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 11:13
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.88%E -6.61%K -13.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 10:58
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -14.22%E -7.41%K -15.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV +5.12%E +2.69%K +5.68%G +0.291%4.7%2026-05-11 10:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-11 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-11 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-05-11 11:14
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-05-11 11:15
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%4.6%2026-05-11 11:14
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%6.9%2026-05-11 11:15