Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.32
assuming max odds 1.42
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Bondár (Local): 31.06%; Qinwen Zheng (Visit): 68.94%. For Anna Bondár (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.11%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV +3.11%E +0.938%K +1.34%G +0.042% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.49%E +0.756%K +1.08%G +0.027% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.49%E +0.756%K +1.08%G +0.027% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.49%E +0.756%K +1.08%G +0.027% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.49%E +0.756%K +1.08%G +0.027% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +0.941%E +0.289%K +0.418%G +0.004% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -4.17%E -3.00%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-05 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +0.941%E +0.289%K +0.418%G +0.004% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.55%E -4.05%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 08:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -1.23%E -0.388%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.17%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 10:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.17%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.55%E -4.05%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.17%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 08:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.48%E -0.788%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 07:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.48%E -0.788%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 07:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.55%E -4.05%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 07:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 10:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.17%E -3.00%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.17%E -3.00%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 07:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.55%E -4.05%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 07:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 07:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 06:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 07:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 07:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 07:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 07:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 06:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -8.07%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 01:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 07:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -8.69%E -2.95%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.18%EV -9.00%E -3.07%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.82%EV -4.17%E -3.00%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.10%E -1.48%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 07:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 23:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 19:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 10:23 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.48%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.48%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.59%E -5.30%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.10%E -1.48%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 07:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |
| Novig◎ | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 10:35 |