La escuela de los momios

Anna Bondár v Qinwen Zheng

Inicio: 2026-05-05 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Anna Bondár (Local)

Predicción 31.06%3.22momio equitativo
EV +3.11%
Ventaja +0.938%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.042%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%31.13%31.11%34.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.003.3236.36%33.15%33.33%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Qinwen Zheng (Visitante)

Predicción 68.94%1.45momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -5.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.95%68.87%68.89%71.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.39%72.46%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betclic (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV +3.11%E +0.938%K +1.34%G +0.042%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 10:25
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.49%E +0.756%K +1.08%G +0.027%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 10:35
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.49%E +0.756%K +1.08%G +0.027%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 10:35
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.49%E +0.756%K +1.08%G +0.027%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 10:35
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.49%E +0.756%K +1.08%G +0.027%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 10:35
Pinnacle3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +0.941%E +0.289%K +0.418%G +0.004%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -4.17%E -3.00%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-05 10:10
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +0.941%E +0.289%K +0.418%G +0.004%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.55%E -4.05%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 08:09
SportsBet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -1.23%E -0.388%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 10:10
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.17%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 10:24
FanDuel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.17%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.55%E -4.05%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 10:10
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.17%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 08:10
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.48%E -0.788%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 07:00
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.48%E -0.788%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 07:00
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 10:25
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.55%E -4.05%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 10:25
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 07:10
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 10:09
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 10:25
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.17%E -3.00%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 10:35
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.17%E -3.00%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 07:00
PointsBet (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 10:25
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.55%E -4.05%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 10:25
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 10:25
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 07:00
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 07:10
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 06:58
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 07:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 07:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 07:09
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 07:09
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 06:59
1xBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -8.07%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 10:25
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:30
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:29
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 08:40
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 01:24
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 07:03
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -8.69%E -2.95%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
GTbets2.93I 34.13%NM 32.18%EV -9.00%E -3.07%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.82%EV -4.17%E -3.00%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 09:05
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.10%E -1.48%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 07:05
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 23:30
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 19:25
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 10:23
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.48%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 10:35
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.48%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 10:35
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.59%E -5.30%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.10%E -1.48%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 07:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-05-05 10:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-05-05 10:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-05-05 10:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-05-05 10:35
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-05-05 10:35
Novig3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%5.9%2026-05-05 10:35