L’École des cotes

Anna Bondár v Qinwen Zheng

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anna Bondár (Local)

Prévision 31.06%3.22cote équitable
EV +3.11%
Avantage +0.938%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.73%31.13%31.11%34.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.023.003.3236.36%33.15%33.33%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Qinwen Zheng (Visiteur)

Prévision 68.94%1.45cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -5.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.95%68.87%68.89%71.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.39%72.46%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV +3.11%E +0.938%K +1.34%G +0.042%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 10:25
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.49%E +0.756%K +1.08%G +0.027%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 10:35
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.49%E +0.756%K +1.08%G +0.027%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 10:35
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.49%E +0.756%K +1.08%G +0.027%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 10:35
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.49%E +0.756%K +1.08%G +0.027%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 10:35
Pinnacle3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +0.941%E +0.289%K +0.418%G +0.004%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -4.17%E -3.00%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-05 10:10
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +0.941%E +0.289%K +0.418%G +0.004%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.55%E -4.05%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 08:09
SportsBet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -1.23%E -0.388%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 10:10
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.17%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 10:24
FanDuel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.17%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.55%E -4.05%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 10:10
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.17%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 08:10
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.48%E -0.788%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 07:00
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.48%E -0.788%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 07:00
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 10:25
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.55%E -4.05%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 10:25
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 07:10
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 10:09
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 10:25
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.17%E -3.00%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 10:35
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.17%E -3.00%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 07:00
PointsBet (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 10:25
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.55%E -4.05%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 10:25
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 10:25
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 07:00
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 07:10
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 06:58
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 07:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 07:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 07:09
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 07:09
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.31%E -6.25%K -25.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 06:59
1xBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -8.07%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 10:25
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:30
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:29
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 08:40
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 01:24
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.38%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.93%E -5.13%K -19.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 07:03
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -8.69%E -2.95%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
GTbets2.93I 34.13%NM 32.18%EV -9.00%E -3.07%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.82%EV -4.17%E -3.00%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 09:05
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.10%E -1.48%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 07:05
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.79%E -1.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 23:30
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.48%E -2.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 19:25
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.24%E -4.59%K -17.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 10:23
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.48%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 10:35
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.48%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.86%E -3.52%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 10:35
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.59%E -5.30%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.10%E -1.48%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 07:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-05-05 10:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-05-05 10:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-05-05 10:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-05-05 10:35
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-05-05 10:35
Novig3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%5.9%2026-05-05 10:35