Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ann Li v Shuai Zhang

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ann Li (Local)

Prediction 63.37%1.58fair odd
EV +4.56%
Edge +2.76%
Kelly +7.01%
Growth +0.320%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%64.60%63.50%76.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.451.481.6581.97%69.07%67.57%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shuai Zhang (Visit)

Prediction 36.63%2.73fair odd
EV +47.99%
Edge +11.88%
Kelly +15.79%
Growth +7.58%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%35.40%36.50%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.802.504.0446.51%35.75%40.00%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ann Li (Local): 63.37%; Shuai Zhang (Visit): 36.63%. For Shuai Zhang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +47.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -20.16%E -16.00%K -77.52%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +47.99%E +11.88%K +15.79%G +7.58%4.1%2026-05-05 16:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -20.16%E -16.00%K -77.52%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +47.99%E +11.88%K +15.79%G +7.58%4.1%2026-05-05 16:48
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -20.79%E -16.63%K -83.16%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +46.89%E +11.69%K +15.58%G +7.31%4.9%2026-05-05 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -20.79%E -16.63%K -83.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +46.53%E +11.63%K +15.51%G +7.22%5.0%2026-05-05 16:40
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -20.79%E -16.63%K -83.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +46.53%E +11.63%K +15.51%G +7.22%5.0%2026-05-05 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -22.69%E -18.60%K -103.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +42.86%E +10.99%K +14.78%G +6.34%7.6%2026-05-05 16:46
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -20.79%E -16.63%K -83.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +41.03%E +10.66%K +14.40%G +5.91%6.0%2026-05-05 16:49
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -19.52%E -15.37%K -72.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +37.37%E +9.96%K +13.59%G +5.08%5.4%2026-05-05 16:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -19.52%E -15.37%K -72.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +33.70%E +9.23%K +12.72%G +4.29%6.1%2026-05-05 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.27%EV -16.99%E -12.97%K -54.80%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV +31.51%E +8.78%K +12.16%G +3.83%4.2%2026-05-05 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -17.62%E -13.55%K -58.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +28.21%E +8.06%K +11.28%G +3.18%5.5%2026-05-05 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -18.89%E -14.76%K -67.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +26.38%E +7.65%K +10.77%G +2.84%7.1%2026-05-05 16:45
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -18.89%E -14.76%K -67.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +26.38%E +7.65%K +10.77%G +2.84%7.1%2026-05-05 16:45
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -18.89%E -14.76%K -67.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV +20.88%E +6.33%K +9.08%G +1.90%8.4%2026-05-05 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -15.72%E -11.82%K -47.64%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV +8.80%E +2.96%K +4.46%G +0.393%8.9%2026-05-05 16:54
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -12.55%E -9.10%K -33.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +6.23%E +2.15%K +3.28%G +0.204%6.9%2026-05-05 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -14.45%E -10.71%K -41.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +6.23%E +2.15%K +3.28%G +0.204%8.6%2026-05-05 16:54
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.38%E -6.56%K -21.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.57%E +0.917%K +1.43%G +0.037%5.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 16:54
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.85%E -4.66%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 16:55
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -3.05%E -1.99%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -9.89%E -4.02%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.78%E -1.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.68%E -2.42%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.68%E -2.42%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.31%E -2.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.31%E -2.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.31%E -2.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -10.99%E -4.52%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV +0.122%E +0.077%K +0.211%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -12.08%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.78%E -1.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.08%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 16:55
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV +0.122%E +0.077%K +0.211%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 16:55
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.511%E -0.326%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.511%E -0.326%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.511%E -0.326%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 16:55
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -13.92%E -5.92%K -10.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -13.92%E -5.92%K -10.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.92%E -5.92%K -10.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-05 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -1.15%E -0.734%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -14.65%E -6.29%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -0.511%E -0.326%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -15.75%E -6.85%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -16.48%E -7.23%K -12.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +2.66%E +1.64%K +4.29%G +0.114%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -17.58%E -7.81%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -17.58%E -7.81%K -14.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +4.56%E +2.76%K +7.01%G +0.320%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -21.24%E -9.88%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 16:55
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +4.56%E +2.76%K +7.01%G +0.320%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -21.24%E -9.88%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-05-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-05 16:55
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%4.8%2026-05-05 16:55
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 62.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.33%16.5%2026-05-05 16:55