La escuela de los momios

Ann Li v Shuai Zhang

Inicio: 2026-05-05 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ann Li (Local)

Predicción 63.37%1.58momio equitativo
EV +4.56%
Ventaja +2.76%
Kelly +7.01%
Crecimiento +0.320%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%64.60%63.50%76.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.451.481.6581.97%69.07%67.57%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shuai Zhang (Visitante)

Predicción 36.63%2.73momio equitativo
EV +47.99%
Ventaja +11.88%
Kelly +15.79%
Crecimiento +7.58%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.76%35.40%36.50%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.802.504.0446.51%35.75%40.00%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -20.16%E -16.00%K -77.52%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +47.99%E +11.88%K +15.79%G +7.58%4.1%2026-05-05 16:48
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -20.16%E -16.00%K -77.52%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +47.99%E +11.88%K +15.79%G +7.58%4.1%2026-05-05 16:48
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -20.79%E -16.63%K -83.16%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +46.89%E +11.69%K +15.58%G +7.31%4.9%2026-05-05 16:40
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -20.79%E -16.63%K -83.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +46.53%E +11.63%K +15.51%G +7.22%5.0%2026-05-05 16:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -20.79%E -16.63%K -83.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +46.53%E +11.63%K +15.51%G +7.22%5.0%2026-05-05 16:45
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -22.69%E -18.60%K -103.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +42.86%E +10.99%K +14.78%G +6.34%7.6%2026-05-05 16:46
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -20.79%E -16.63%K -83.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +41.03%E +10.66%K +14.40%G +5.91%6.0%2026-05-05 16:49
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -19.52%E -15.37%K -72.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +37.37%E +9.96%K +13.59%G +5.08%5.4%2026-05-05 16:28
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -19.52%E -15.37%K -72.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +33.70%E +9.23%K +12.72%G +4.29%6.1%2026-05-05 16:40
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.27%EV -16.99%E -12.97%K -54.80%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV +31.51%E +8.78%K +12.16%G +3.83%4.2%2026-05-05 16:55
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -17.62%E -13.55%K -58.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +28.21%E +8.06%K +11.28%G +3.18%5.5%2026-05-05 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -18.89%E -14.76%K -67.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +26.38%E +7.65%K +10.77%G +2.84%7.1%2026-05-05 16:45
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -18.89%E -14.76%K -67.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +26.38%E +7.65%K +10.77%G +2.84%7.1%2026-05-05 16:45
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -18.89%E -14.76%K -67.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV +20.88%E +6.33%K +9.08%G +1.90%8.4%2026-05-05 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -15.72%E -11.82%K -47.64%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV +8.80%E +2.96%K +4.46%G +0.393%8.9%2026-05-05 16:54
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -12.55%E -9.10%K -33.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +6.23%E +2.15%K +3.28%G +0.204%6.9%2026-05-05 16:55
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -14.45%E -10.71%K -41.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +6.23%E +2.15%K +3.28%G +0.204%8.6%2026-05-05 16:54
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.38%E -6.56%K -21.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.57%E +0.917%K +1.43%G +0.037%5.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 16:54
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 16:54
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 16:55
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 16:54
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.85%E -4.66%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 16:55
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 16:55
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 16:55
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 16:55
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -3.05%E -1.99%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -9.89%E -4.02%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.78%E -1.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 16:55
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.68%E -2.42%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.68%E -2.42%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 16:55
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.31%E -2.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.31%E -2.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.31%E -2.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:55
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -10.99%E -4.52%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV +0.122%E +0.077%K +0.211%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -12.08%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.78%E -1.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.08%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 16:55
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV +0.122%E +0.077%K +0.211%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 16:55
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.511%E -0.326%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.511%E -0.326%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 16:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.511%E -0.326%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 16:55
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -13.92%E -5.92%K -10.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 16:55
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -13.92%E -5.92%K -10.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.92%E -5.92%K -10.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-05 16:55
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -1.15%E -0.734%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -14.65%E -6.29%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:55
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -0.511%E -0.326%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -15.75%E -6.85%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -16.48%E -7.23%K -12.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 16:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +2.66%E +1.64%K +4.29%G +0.114%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -17.58%E -7.81%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -17.58%E -7.81%K -14.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +4.56%E +2.76%K +7.01%G +0.320%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -21.24%E -9.88%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 16:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +4.56%E +2.76%K +7.01%G +0.320%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -21.24%E -9.88%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-05-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-05 16:55
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%4.8%2026-05-05 16:55
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 62.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.33%16.5%2026-05-05 16:55