L’École des cotes

Ann Li v Shuai Zhang

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ann Li (Local)

Prévision 63.37%1.58cote équitable
EV +4.56%
Avantage +2.76%
Kelly +7.01%
Croissance +0.320%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.58%64.60%63.50%76.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.451.481.6581.97%69.07%67.57%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shuai Zhang (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.63%2.73cote équitable
EV +47.99%
Avantage +11.88%
Kelly +15.79%
Croissance +7.58%

avec la cote maximale 4.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.76%35.40%36.50%43.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.802.504.0446.51%35.75%40.00%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -20.16%E -16.00%K -77.52%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +47.99%E +11.88%K +15.79%G +7.58%4.1%2026-05-05 16:48
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -20.16%E -16.00%K -77.52%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +47.99%E +11.88%K +15.79%G +7.58%4.1%2026-05-05 16:48
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -20.79%E -16.63%K -83.16%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +46.89%E +11.69%K +15.58%G +7.31%4.9%2026-05-05 16:40
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -20.79%E -16.63%K -83.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +46.53%E +11.63%K +15.51%G +7.22%5.0%2026-05-05 16:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -20.79%E -16.63%K -83.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +46.53%E +11.63%K +15.51%G +7.22%5.0%2026-05-05 16:45
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -22.69%E -18.60%K -103.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +42.86%E +10.99%K +14.78%G +6.34%7.6%2026-05-05 16:46
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -20.79%E -16.63%K -83.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +41.03%E +10.66%K +14.40%G +5.91%6.0%2026-05-05 16:49
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -19.52%E -15.37%K -72.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +37.37%E +9.96%K +13.59%G +5.08%5.4%2026-05-05 16:28
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -19.52%E -15.37%K -72.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +33.70%E +9.23%K +12.72%G +4.29%6.1%2026-05-05 16:40
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.27%EV -16.99%E -12.97%K -54.80%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV +31.51%E +8.78%K +12.16%G +3.83%4.2%2026-05-05 16:55
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -17.62%E -13.55%K -58.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +28.21%E +8.06%K +11.28%G +3.18%5.5%2026-05-05 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -18.89%E -14.76%K -67.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +26.38%E +7.65%K +10.77%G +2.84%7.1%2026-05-05 16:45
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -18.89%E -14.76%K -67.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +26.38%E +7.65%K +10.77%G +2.84%7.1%2026-05-05 16:45
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -18.89%E -14.76%K -67.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV +20.88%E +6.33%K +9.08%G +1.90%8.4%2026-05-05 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -15.72%E -11.82%K -47.64%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV +8.80%E +2.96%K +4.46%G +0.393%8.9%2026-05-05 16:54
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -12.55%E -9.10%K -33.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +6.23%E +2.15%K +3.28%G +0.204%6.9%2026-05-05 16:55
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -14.45%E -10.71%K -41.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +6.23%E +2.15%K +3.28%G +0.204%8.6%2026-05-05 16:54
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.38%E -6.56%K -21.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.57%E +0.917%K +1.43%G +0.037%5.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.93%E -1.10%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 16:54
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 16:54
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 16:55
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.39%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 16:54
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.85%E -4.66%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 16:55
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 16:55
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 16:55
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 16:55
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -3.05%E -1.99%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -9.89%E -4.02%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.78%E -1.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 16:55
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.68%E -2.42%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.68%E -2.42%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 16:55
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.31%E -2.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.31%E -2.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.31%E -2.86%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.25%E -4.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:55
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -10.99%E -4.52%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV +0.122%E +0.077%K +0.211%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -12.08%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 16:55
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.78%E -1.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.08%E -5.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 16:55
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV +0.122%E +0.077%K +0.211%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 16:55
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.511%E -0.326%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.511%E -0.326%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 16:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.511%E -0.326%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.82%E -5.39%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 16:55
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -13.92%E -5.92%K -10.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 16:55
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -13.92%E -5.92%K -10.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.75%E -6.08%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.92%E -5.92%K -10.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-05 16:55
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -1.15%E -0.734%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -14.65%E -6.29%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:55
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -0.511%E -0.326%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -15.75%E -6.85%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -16.48%E -7.23%K -12.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 16:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +2.66%E +1.64%K +4.29%G +0.114%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -17.58%E -7.81%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -17.58%E -7.81%K -14.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +4.56%E +2.76%K +7.01%G +0.320%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -21.24%E -9.88%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 16:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +4.56%E +2.76%K +7.01%G +0.320%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -21.24%E -9.88%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-05-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-05 16:55
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%4.8%2026-05-05 16:55
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 62.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.33%16.5%2026-05-05 16:55