Language:English
Yulia Putintseva v Paula Badosa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yulia Putintseva (Local)
Prediction 34.01%2.94fair odd
EV +2.03%
Edge +0.677%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%34.05%33.98%35.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.803.0038.46%35.99%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Paula Badosa (Visit)
Prediction 65.99%1.52fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.27%65.95%66.02%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.431.4972.46%69.75%69.93%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yulia Putintseva (Local): 34.01%; Paula Badosa (Visit): 65.99%. For Yulia Putintseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.03%E +0.677%K +1.01%G +0.021% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.03%E +0.677%K +1.01%G +0.021% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.37%E -0.473%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.65%E -2.50%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.37%E -0.473%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -1.37%E -0.473%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.93%E -6.47%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.71%E -0.592%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.71%E -0.592%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 12:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.07%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.99%E -2.04%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 16:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.07%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.09%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 16:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 16:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 06:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.45%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 09:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.45%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -6.13%E -2.22%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.99%E -2.04%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 17:21 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -6.81%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.65%E -2.50%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.49%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.99%E -2.04%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 11:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -8.85%E -3.30%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -1.67%E -1.12%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.87%E -3.73%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.65%E -2.50%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.89%E -4.16%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.89%E -4.16%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.57%E -4.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 16:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |