Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yulia Putintseva v Paula Badosa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Prévision 34.01%2.94cote équitable
EV +2.03%
Avantage +0.677%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.82%34.05%33.98%35.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.782.803.0038.46%35.99%35.71%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Paula Badosa (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.99%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -3.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.27%65.95%66.02%68.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.431.431.4972.46%69.75%69.93%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yulia Putintseva (Local) : 34.01% ; Paula Badosa (Visiteur) : 65.99%. Pour Yulia Putintseva (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.94. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.00, soit une espérance positive de +2.03%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.03%E +0.677%K +1.01%G +0.021%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 17:45
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.03%E +0.677%K +1.01%G +0.021%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 17:45
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.37%E -0.473%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.65%E -2.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.37%E -0.473%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 16:25
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -1.37%E -0.473%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.93%E -6.47%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.71%E -0.592%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.71%E -0.592%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 12:09
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.07%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.99%E -2.04%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.07%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 16:59
DraftKings🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.09%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:40
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 10:05
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 16:25
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 16:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:24
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 17:00
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 17:00
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:59
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 17:00
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 06:04
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 17:55
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.45%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 09:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.45%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 16:25
1xBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -6.13%E -2.22%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 16:25
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.99%E -2.04%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 16:15
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 17:30
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 17:21
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 17:20
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 00:15
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 11:20
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 15:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:00
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 07:45
GTbets🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -6.81%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.65%E -2.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.49%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.99%E -2.04%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 16:25
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 11:15
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 07:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 16:25
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 15:40
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -8.85%E -3.30%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -1.67%E -1.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.87%E -3.73%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.65%E -2.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 16:25
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.89%E -4.16%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:00
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.89%E -4.16%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.57%E -4.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 16:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-03-04 17:00