La escuela de los momios

Yulia Putintseva v Paula Badosa

Inicio: 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Predicción 34.01%2.94momio equitativo
EV +2.03%
Ventaja +0.677%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.82%34.05%33.98%35.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.782.803.0038.46%35.99%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Paula Badosa (Visitante)

Predicción 65.99%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -3.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.27%65.95%66.02%68.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.431.431.4972.46%69.75%69.93%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.03%E +0.677%K +1.01%G +0.021%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 17:45
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.03%E +0.677%K +1.01%G +0.021%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 17:45
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.37%E -0.473%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.65%E -2.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 16:25
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.37%E -0.473%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 16:25
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -1.37%E -0.473%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.93%E -6.47%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 16:25
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.71%E -0.592%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 12:10
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.71%E -0.592%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 12:09
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.07%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.99%E -2.04%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 16:24
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.07%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 16:59
DraftKings2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.09%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:40
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 10:05
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 16:25
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 11:20
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 16:24
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:24
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 17:00
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 17:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 17:00
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:59
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 17:00
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 06:04
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 15:40
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 17:55
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 18:05
PointsBet (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.45%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 09:59
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.45%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 16:25
1xBet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -6.13%E -2.22%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 16:25
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.99%E -2.04%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 16:15
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 17:30
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 17:21
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 17:20
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 00:15
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 11:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 15:39
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:00
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 07:45
GTbets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -6.81%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.65%E -2.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 16:25
NetBet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.49%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.99%E -2.04%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 16:25
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 11:15
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 07:55
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 16:25
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 16:25
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 15:40
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -8.85%E -3.30%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -1.67%E -1.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 16:25
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.87%E -3.73%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.65%E -2.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 16:25
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.89%E -4.16%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.31%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 17:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.89%E -4.16%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.57%E -4.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 16:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-03-04 17:00