Language:English
Yulia Putintseva v Clara Tauson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yulia Putintseva (Local)
Prediction 24.13%4.14fair odd
EV +8.58%
Edge +1.91%
Kelly +2.45%
Growth +0.211%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.63%24.80%24.11%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.773.804.5033.33%26.52%26.32%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clara Tauson (Visit)
Prediction 75.87%1.32fair odd
EV +4.70%
Edge +3.41%
Kelly +12.37%
Growth +0.582%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%75.20%75.89%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.261.251.3885.47%79.07%80.00%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yulia Putintseva (Local): 24.13%; Clara Tauson (Visit): 75.87%. For Yulia Putintseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -20.85%E -6.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV +4.70%E +3.41%K +12.37%G +0.582% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -27.61%E -9.20%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +4.70%E +3.41%K +12.37%G +0.582% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -23.99%E -7.62%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV +3.94%E +2.88%K +10.65%G +0.420% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 19:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -25.20%E -8.13%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV +3.94%E +2.88%K +10.65%G +0.420% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -21.34%E -6.55%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV +3.18%E +2.34%K +8.84%G +0.282% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -21.34%E -6.55%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV +3.18%E +2.34%K +8.84%G +0.282% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -23.99%E -7.62%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV +2.42%E +1.80%K +6.93%G +0.168% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:06 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -25.20%E -8.13%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV +2.42%E +1.80%K +6.93%G +0.168% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -27.61%E -9.20%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +2.42%E +1.80%K +6.93%G +0.168% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -27.61%E -9.20%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +2.42%E +1.80%K +6.93%G +0.168% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -20.61%E -6.27%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV +1.67%E +1.24%K +4.90%G +0.082% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -23.27%E -7.32%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV +1.67%E +1.24%K +4.90%G +0.082% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -17.96%E -5.28%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV +0.908%E +0.682%K +2.75%G +0.025% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -20.37%E -6.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +0.908%E +0.682%K +2.75%G +0.025% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -23.27%E -7.32%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV +0.908%E +0.682%K +2.75%G +0.025% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -23.99%E -7.62%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV +0.908%E +0.682%K +2.75%G +0.025% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -17.96%E -5.28%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.37%E -1.05%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -20.37%E -6.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.37%E -1.05%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.64%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.64%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.64%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.64%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.40%E -3.49%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.40%E -3.49%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.48%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.48%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -0.344%E -0.083%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -5.92%E -4.77%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.92%E -4.77%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -13.13%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.92%E -4.77%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.76%E +0.874%K +1.14%G +0.043% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -2.27%E -0.562%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +8.58%E +1.91%K +2.45%G +0.211% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +4.96%E +1.14%K +1.48%G +0.074% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.07%E -0.261%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.07%E -0.261%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.48%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +7.38%E +1.66%K +2.14%G +0.158% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.48%E +1.04%K +1.35%G +0.060% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.48%E +1.04%K +1.35%G +0.060% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.48%E +1.04%K +1.35%G +0.060% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.55%E +0.600%K +0.785%G +0.020% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +1.34%E +0.320%K +0.420%G +0.006% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +1.34%E +0.320%K +0.420%G +0.006% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +1.34%E +0.320%K +0.420%G +0.006% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +8.58%E +1.91%K +2.45%G +0.211% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV +0.138%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV +0.138%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 19:21 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +8.58%E +1.91%K +2.45%G +0.211% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 19:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 19:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |