L’École des cotes

Yulia Putintseva v Clara Tauson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Prévision 24.13%4.14cote équitable
EV +8.58%
Avantage +1.91%
Kelly +2.45%
Croissance +0.211%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.63%24.80%24.11%31.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.773.804.5033.33%26.52%26.32%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Clara Tauson (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.87%1.32cote équitable
EV +4.70%
Avantage +3.41%
Kelly +12.37%
Croissance +0.582%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.49%75.20%75.89%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.261.251.3885.47%79.07%80.00%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -20.85%E -6.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV +4.70%E +3.41%K +12.37%G +0.582%3.0%2026-03-06 19:15
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -27.61%E -9.20%K -13.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +4.70%E +3.41%K +12.37%G +0.582%5.8%2026-03-06 19:10
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -23.99%E -7.62%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV +3.94%E +2.88%K +10.65%G +0.420%4.7%2026-03-06 19:09
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -25.20%E -8.13%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV +3.94%E +2.88%K +10.65%G +0.420%5.3%2026-03-06 19:06
LowVig.ag3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -21.34%E -6.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV +3.18%E +2.34%K +8.84%G +0.282%4.2%2026-03-06 19:11
BetOnline.ag3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -21.34%E -6.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV +3.18%E +2.34%K +8.84%G +0.282%4.2%2026-03-06 19:11
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -23.99%E -7.62%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV +2.42%E +1.80%K +6.93%G +0.168%5.8%2026-03-06 19:06
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -25.20%E -8.13%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV +2.42%E +1.80%K +6.93%G +0.168%6.3%2026-03-06 19:01
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -27.61%E -9.20%K -13.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +2.42%E +1.80%K +6.93%G +0.168%7.4%2026-03-06 19:05
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -27.61%E -9.20%K -13.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +2.42%E +1.80%K +6.93%G +0.168%7.4%2026-03-06 19:05
GTbets3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -20.61%E -6.27%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV +1.67%E +1.24%K +4.90%G +0.082%5.0%2026-03-06 19:05
Unibet (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -23.27%E -7.32%K -10.67%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV +1.67%E +1.24%K +4.90%G +0.082%6.1%2026-03-06 19:16
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -17.96%E -5.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV +0.908%E +0.682%K +2.75%G +0.025%4.6%2026-03-06 19:13
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -20.37%E -6.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +0.908%E +0.682%K +2.75%G +0.025%5.5%2026-03-06 19:05
SportsBet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -23.27%E -7.32%K -10.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV +0.908%E +0.682%K +2.75%G +0.025%6.6%2026-03-06 19:10
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -23.99%E -7.62%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV +0.908%E +0.682%K +2.75%G +0.025%6.9%2026-03-06 19:05
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -17.96%E -5.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.37%E -1.05%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:19
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -20.37%E -6.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.37%E -1.05%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:20
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 19:20
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.64%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.64%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:20
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.64%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:20
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.64%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.40%E -3.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:19
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.40%E -3.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.48%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.48%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 19:20
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:19
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
DraftKings4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -0.344%E -0.083%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -5.92%E -4.77%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 19:20
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.92%E -4.77%K -24.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -13.13%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.92%E -4.77%K -24.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 19:20
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.76%E +0.874%K +1.14%G +0.043%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 19:20
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -2.27%E -0.562%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +8.58%E +1.91%K +2.45%G +0.211%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 19:20
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +4.96%E +1.14%K +1.48%G +0.074%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:20
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.07%E -0.261%K -0.345%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.07%E -0.261%K -0.345%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.48%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:20
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:15
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +7.38%E +1.66%K +2.14%G +0.158%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:20
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.48%E +1.04%K +1.35%G +0.060%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.48%E +1.04%K +1.35%G +0.060%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:20
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.48%E +1.04%K +1.35%G +0.060%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:20
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.55%E +0.600%K +0.785%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:15
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +1.34%E +0.320%K +0.420%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +1.34%E +0.320%K +0.420%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +1.34%E +0.320%K +0.420%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:15
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +8.58%E +1.91%K +2.45%G +0.211%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Betclic (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV +0.138%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 19:20
Fliff4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV +0.138%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 19:21
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +8.58%E +1.91%K +2.45%G +0.211%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 19:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-06 19:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-06 19:21
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%1.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%6.3%2026-03-06 19:20