La escuela de los momios

Yulia Putintseva v Clara Tauson

Inicio: 2026-03-06 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Predicción 24.13%4.14momio equitativo
EV +8.58%
Ventaja +1.91%
Kelly +2.45%
Crecimiento +0.211%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.63%24.80%24.11%31.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.773.804.5033.33%26.52%26.32%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Clara Tauson (Visitante)

Predicción 75.87%1.32momio equitativo
EV +4.70%
Ventaja +3.41%
Kelly +12.37%
Crecimiento +0.582%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%75.20%75.89%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.261.251.3885.47%79.07%80.00%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -20.85%E -6.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV +4.70%E +3.41%K +12.37%G +0.582%3.0%2026-03-06 19:15
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -27.61%E -9.20%K -13.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +4.70%E +3.41%K +12.37%G +0.582%5.8%2026-03-06 19:10
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -23.99%E -7.62%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV +3.94%E +2.88%K +10.65%G +0.420%4.7%2026-03-06 19:09
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -25.20%E -8.13%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV +3.94%E +2.88%K +10.65%G +0.420%5.3%2026-03-06 19:06
LowVig.ag3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -21.34%E -6.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV +3.18%E +2.34%K +8.84%G +0.282%4.2%2026-03-06 19:11
BetOnline.ag3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -21.34%E -6.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV +3.18%E +2.34%K +8.84%G +0.282%4.2%2026-03-06 19:11
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -23.99%E -7.62%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV +2.42%E +1.80%K +6.93%G +0.168%5.8%2026-03-06 19:06
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -25.20%E -8.13%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV +2.42%E +1.80%K +6.93%G +0.168%6.3%2026-03-06 19:01
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -27.61%E -9.20%K -13.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +2.42%E +1.80%K +6.93%G +0.168%7.4%2026-03-06 19:05
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -27.61%E -9.20%K -13.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +2.42%E +1.80%K +6.93%G +0.168%7.4%2026-03-06 19:05
GTbets3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -20.61%E -6.27%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV +1.67%E +1.24%K +4.90%G +0.082%5.0%2026-03-06 19:05
Unibet (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -23.27%E -7.32%K -10.67%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV +1.67%E +1.24%K +4.90%G +0.082%6.1%2026-03-06 19:16
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -17.96%E -5.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV +0.908%E +0.682%K +2.75%G +0.025%4.6%2026-03-06 19:13
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -20.37%E -6.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +0.908%E +0.682%K +2.75%G +0.025%5.5%2026-03-06 19:05
SportsBet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -23.27%E -7.32%K -10.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV +0.908%E +0.682%K +2.75%G +0.025%6.6%2026-03-06 19:10
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -23.99%E -7.62%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV +0.908%E +0.682%K +2.75%G +0.025%6.9%2026-03-06 19:05
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -17.96%E -5.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.37%E -1.05%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:19
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -20.37%E -6.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.37%E -1.05%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:20
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.13%E -1.65%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 19:20
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.64%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.64%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:20
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.64%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:20
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.64%E -2.87%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.40%E -3.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:19
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.72%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.40%E -3.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.48%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.48%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 19:20
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:19
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.16%E -4.13%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
DraftKings4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -0.344%E -0.083%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -5.92%E -4.77%K -24.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 19:20
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.92%E -4.77%K -24.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -13.13%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.92%E -4.77%K -24.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 19:20
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.68%E -5.43%K -29.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.76%E +0.874%K +1.14%G +0.043%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 19:20
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -2.27%E -0.562%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.44%E -6.10%K -33.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +8.58%E +1.91%K +2.45%G +0.211%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 19:20
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +4.96%E +1.14%K +1.48%G +0.074%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:20
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.07%E -0.261%K -0.345%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.07%E -0.261%K -0.345%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.48%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:20
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -8.20%E -6.77%K -39.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:15
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +7.38%E +1.66%K +2.14%G +0.158%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:20
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.48%E +1.04%K +1.35%G +0.060%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.48%E +1.04%K +1.35%G +0.060%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:20
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.48%E +1.04%K +1.35%G +0.060%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:20
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.55%E +0.600%K +0.785%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:15
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +1.34%E +0.320%K +0.420%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +1.34%E +0.320%K +0.420%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +1.34%E +0.320%K +0.420%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.96%E -7.46%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:15
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +8.58%E +1.91%K +2.45%G +0.211%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Betclic (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV +0.138%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 19:20
Fliff4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV +0.138%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -10.47%E -8.88%K -58.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 19:21
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +8.58%E +1.91%K +2.45%G +0.211%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -11.23%E -9.60%K -66.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 19:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-06 19:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-06 19:21
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%1.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%6.3%2026-03-06 19:20