Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva v Caty McNally

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local)

Prediction 35.57%2.81fair odd
EV +9.54%
Edge +3.10%
Kelly +4.59%
Growth +0.438%

assuming max odds 3.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%35.87%35.63%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.732.753.0844.44%36.64%36.36%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Caty McNally (Visit)

Prediction 64.43%1.55fair odd
EV +4.38%
Edge +2.71%
Kelly +7.07%
Growth +0.310%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%64.13%64.37%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.431.6273.53%69.20%69.93%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local): 35.57%; Caty McNally (Visit): 64.43%. For Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 28 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV +9.54%E +3.10%K +4.59%G +0.438%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +6.70%E +2.23%K +3.35%G +0.224%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +6.70%E +2.23%K +3.35%G +0.224%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 23:20
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +6.70%E +2.23%K +3.35%G +0.224%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -12.37%E -9.10%K -34.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 23:25
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +4.92%E +1.67%K +2.52%G +0.124%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 23:14
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:19
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:19
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:17
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:13
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -12.37%E -9.10%K -34.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 23:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -12.37%E -9.10%K -34.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 23:16
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:18
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV +0.297%E +0.105%K +0.163%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:16
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.414%E -0.148%K -0.230%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 23:18
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -1.13%E -0.405%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 23:09
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -9.15%E -6.49%K -22.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -9.15%E -6.49%K -22.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 23:09
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:25
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:25
GTbets🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -2.55%E -0.930%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.93%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:18
SportsBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -3.26%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.97%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:09
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.97%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:20
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.04%E -1.89%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.93%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 23:11
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:19
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:19
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.82%E -2.60%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 23:24
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 23:25
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.93%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:25
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.31%E -3.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -9.31%E -3.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 23:25
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -9.31%E -3.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 23:20
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.08%E -4.43%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.772%E -0.501%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 23:14
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.08%E -4.43%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.06%E -1.36%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.08%E -4.43%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -14.64%E -6.10%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.42%E -0.926%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -14.64%E -6.10%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -2.06%E -1.36%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:25
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -16.06%E -6.81%K -11.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV +1.16%E +0.739%K +2.04%G +0.024%6.1%2026-03-04 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -16.42%E -6.99%K -12.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 23:24
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -18.20%E -7.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +3.09%E +1.93%K +5.16%G +0.160%6.0%2026-03-04 23:25
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -18.20%E -7.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +1.16%E +0.739%K +2.04%G +0.024%7.2%2026-03-04 23:23
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -19.98%E -8.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +4.38%E +2.71%K +7.07%G +0.310%6.2%2026-03-04 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-03-04 23:25
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-03-04 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%2.2%2026-03-04 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%5.9%2026-03-04 23:25