L’École des cotes

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva v Caty McNally

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 23:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local)

Prévision 35.57%2.81cote équitable
EV +9.54%
Avantage +3.10%
Kelly +4.59%
Croissance +0.438%

avec la cote maximale 3.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.19%35.87%35.63%41.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.732.753.0844.44%36.64%36.36%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Caty McNally (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.43%1.55cote équitable
EV +4.38%
Avantage +2.71%
Kelly +7.07%
Croissance +0.310%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%64.13%64.37%68.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.451.431.6273.53%69.20%69.93%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV +9.54%E +3.10%K +4.59%G +0.438%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 23:20
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +6.70%E +2.23%K +3.35%G +0.224%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 23:20
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +6.70%E +2.23%K +3.35%G +0.224%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 23:20
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +6.70%E +2.23%K +3.35%G +0.224%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -12.37%E -9.10%K -34.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 23:25
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +4.92%E +1.67%K +2.52%G +0.124%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 23:14
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:19
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:19
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:17
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:13
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -12.37%E -9.10%K -34.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 23:25
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -12.37%E -9.10%K -34.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 23:16
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:18
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:25
Unibet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV +0.297%E +0.105%K +0.163%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:16
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.414%E -0.148%K -0.230%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 23:18
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -1.13%E -0.405%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 23:09
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:25
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -9.15%E -6.49%K -22.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 23:09
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -9.15%E -6.49%K -22.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 23:09
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:25
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:25
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:25
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:25
GTbets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -2.55%E -0.930%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.93%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:18
SportsBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -3.26%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:20
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.97%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:09
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.97%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:20
Coolbet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.04%E -1.89%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:19
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.93%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 23:11
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:19
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:19
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.82%E -2.60%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 23:24
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 23:25
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.93%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:25
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.31%E -3.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 23:25
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -9.31%E -3.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 23:25
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -9.31%E -3.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 23:20
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.08%E -4.43%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.772%E -0.501%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 23:14
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.08%E -4.43%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.06%E -1.36%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:25
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.08%E -4.43%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 23:25
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -14.64%E -6.10%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.42%E -0.926%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:25
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -14.64%E -6.10%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -2.06%E -1.36%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:25
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -16.06%E -6.81%K -11.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV +1.16%E +0.739%K +2.04%G +0.024%6.1%2026-03-04 23:25
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -16.42%E -6.99%K -12.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 23:24
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -18.20%E -7.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +3.09%E +1.93%K +5.16%G +0.160%6.0%2026-03-04 23:25
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -18.20%E -7.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +1.16%E +0.739%K +2.04%G +0.024%7.2%2026-03-04 23:23
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -19.98%E -8.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +4.38%E +2.71%K +7.07%G +0.310%6.2%2026-03-04 23:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-03-04 23:25
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-03-04 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%2.2%2026-03-04 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%5.9%2026-03-04 23:25