La escuela de los momios

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva v Caty McNally

Inicio: 2026-03-04 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local)

Predicción 35.57%2.81momio equitativo
EV +9.54%
Ventaja +3.10%
Kelly +4.59%
Crecimiento +0.438%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.19%35.87%35.63%41.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.732.753.0844.44%36.64%36.36%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Caty McNally (Visitante)

Predicción 64.43%1.55momio equitativo
EV +4.38%
Ventaja +2.71%
Kelly +7.07%
Crecimiento +0.310%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%64.13%64.37%68.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.431.6273.53%69.20%69.93%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV +9.54%E +3.10%K +4.59%G +0.438%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 23:20
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +6.70%E +2.23%K +3.35%G +0.224%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 23:20
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +6.70%E +2.23%K +3.35%G +0.224%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 23:20
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +6.70%E +2.23%K +3.35%G +0.224%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -12.37%E -9.10%K -34.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 23:25
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +4.92%E +1.67%K +2.52%G +0.124%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 23:14
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:19
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:19
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:17
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:13
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -12.37%E -9.10%K -34.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 23:25
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +3.14%E +1.08%K +1.65%G +0.052%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -12.37%E -9.10%K -34.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 23:16
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:18
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:09
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.36%E +0.479%K +0.737%G +0.010%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:25
Unibet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV +0.297%E +0.105%K +0.163%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 23:16
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.414%E -0.148%K -0.230%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 23:18
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -1.13%E -0.405%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 23:09
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:25
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -9.15%E -6.49%K -22.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 23:09
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -9.15%E -6.49%K -22.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 23:09
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:25
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:25
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:25
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.19%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:25
GTbets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -2.55%E -0.930%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.93%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:18
SportsBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -3.26%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:20
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.97%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:09
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.97%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:20
Coolbet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.04%E -1.89%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:19
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.93%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 23:11
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:19
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:19
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.82%E -2.60%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 23:24
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 23:25
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.93%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:25
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.31%E -3.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 23:25
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -9.31%E -3.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 23:25
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -9.31%E -3.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.86%E -5.50%K -18.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 23:20
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.08%E -4.43%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.772%E -0.501%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 23:14
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.08%E -4.43%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.06%E -1.36%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:25
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.08%E -4.43%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 23:25
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -14.64%E -6.10%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.42%E -0.926%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:25
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -14.64%E -6.10%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -2.06%E -1.36%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:25
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -16.06%E -6.81%K -11.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV +1.16%E +0.739%K +2.04%G +0.024%6.1%2026-03-04 23:25
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -16.42%E -6.99%K -12.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 23:24
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -18.20%E -7.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +3.09%E +1.93%K +5.16%G +0.160%6.0%2026-03-04 23:25
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -18.20%E -7.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +1.16%E +0.739%K +2.04%G +0.024%7.2%2026-03-04 23:23
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -19.98%E -8.88%K -15.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +4.38%E +2.71%K +7.07%G +0.310%6.2%2026-03-04 23:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-03-04 23:25
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-03-04 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%2.2%2026-03-04 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%5.9%2026-03-04 23:25