Language:English
Sorana Cirstea v Tatjana Maria
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Prediction 85.47%1.17fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -18.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.96%85.36%85.41%87.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.121.121.1493.46%89.54%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tatjana Maria (Visit)
Prediction 14.53%6.88fair odd
EV +9.01%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.125%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.69%14.64%14.59%17.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.346.407.5018.18%15.77%15.63%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 85.47%; Tatjana Maria (Visit): 14.53%. For Tatjana Maria (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.88. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.84%E -6.28%K -76.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.01%E +1.20%K +1.39%G +0.125% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.96%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 7.47I 13.39%NM 13.04%EV +8.58%E +1.15%K +1.33%G +0.114% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +7.56%E +1.02%K +1.18%G +0.089% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.42%E -3.03%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 17:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.14%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.96I 14.37%NM 13.86%EV +1.16%E +0.167%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 16:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -8.55%E -7.99%K -122.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.04%E -0.302%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.04%E -0.302%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.55%E -7.99%K -122.18%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -2.62%E -0.391%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 16:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.07%E -0.617%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 23:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 05:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.84%E -6.28%K -76.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.84%E -6.28%K -76.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 15:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.01%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.99%EV -7.70%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -7.70%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -7.70%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 03:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -16.42%E -2.86%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.42%E -3.03%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.42%E -3.03%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 06:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 1.8% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |