StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sorana Cirstea v Tatjana Maria

Matchstart: 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sorana Cirstea (Hemma)

Prognos 85.47%1.17rättvist odds
EV -2.57%
Fördel -2.25%
Kelly -18.36%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.14

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
82.96%85.36%85.41%87.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.071.121.121.1493.46%89.54%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Tatjana Maria (Borta)

Prognos 14.53%6.88rättvist odds
EV +9.01%
Fördel +1.20%
Kelly +1.39%
Tillväxt +0.125%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.69%14.64%14.59%17.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.506.346.407.5018.18%15.77%15.63%13.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sorana Cirstea (Hemma): 85.47%; Tatjana Maria (Borta): 14.53%. För Tatjana Maria (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.88. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +9.01%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.84%E -6.28%K -76.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.01%E +1.20%K +1.39%G +0.125%5.1%2026-03-04 16:59
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.96%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%7.47I 13.39%NM 13.04%EV +8.58%E +1.15%K +1.33%G +0.114%2.7%2026-03-04 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +7.56%E +1.02%K +1.18%G +0.089%3.6%2026-03-04 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.42%E -3.03%K -26.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005%2.8%2026-03-04 16:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005%3.6%2026-03-04 15:39
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005%5.2%2026-03-03 17:21
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005%5.2%2026-03-04 00:14
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005%5.2%2026-03-04 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.14%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.86%EV +1.16%E +0.167%K +0.195%G +0.002%3.7%2026-03-03 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 16:24
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 13:05
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -8.55%E -7.99%K -122.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.04%E -0.302%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.04%E -0.302%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.55%E -7.99%K -122.18%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -2.62%E -0.391%K -0.459%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 16:24
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.07%E -0.617%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 11:15
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 17:30
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 23:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 15:39
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 05:40
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.84%E -6.28%K -76.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 15:39
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.84%E -6.28%K -76.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 15:38
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.01%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.99%EV -7.70%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -7.70%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 17:00
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -7.70%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 15:39
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 03:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 17:45
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -16.42%E -2.86%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.42%E -3.03%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.42%E -3.03%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 06:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-03-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-03-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-03-04 17:10
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-03-04 17:10