A Escola das Odds

Sorana Cirstea v Tatjana Maria

Início: 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Previsão 85.47%1.17odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -2.25%
Kelly -18.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.96%85.36%85.41%87.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.071.121.121.1493.46%89.54%89.29%87.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tatjana Maria (Visitante)

Previsão 14.53%6.88odd justa
EV +9.01%
Vantagem +1.20%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescimento +0.125%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.69%14.64%14.59%17.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.506.346.407.5018.18%15.77%15.63%13.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.84%E -6.28%K -76.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.01%E +1.20%K +1.39%G +0.125%5.1%2026-03-04 16:59
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 86.96%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%7.47I 13.39%NM 13.04%EV +8.58%E +1.15%K +1.33%G +0.114%2.7%2026-03-04 15:40
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +7.56%E +1.02%K +1.18%G +0.089%3.6%2026-03-04 17:10
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.42%E -3.03%K -26.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005%2.8%2026-03-04 16:24
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005%3.6%2026-03-04 15:39
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005%5.2%2026-03-03 17:21
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005%5.2%2026-03-04 00:14
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005%5.2%2026-03-04 16:25
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 86.14%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.86%EV +1.16%E +0.167%K +0.195%G +0.002%3.7%2026-03-03 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 16:24
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 13:05
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -8.55%E -7.99%K -122.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 15:40
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.04%E -0.302%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 09:50
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -2.04%E -0.302%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 09:45
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.55%E -7.99%K -122.18%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -2.62%E -0.391%K -0.459%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 16:24
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.07%E -0.617%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 13:05
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 11:15
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 17:30
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 17:30
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 23:49
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 15:39
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 05:40
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.52%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.84%E -6.28%K -76.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 15:39
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.84%E -6.28%K -76.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 15:38
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.01%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.99%EV -7.70%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -7.70%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 17:00
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -7.70%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:00
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 15:39
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 03:50
Codere (IT)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 16:25
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 17:45
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.13%E -4.62%K -46.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 16:25
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.99%E -5.44%K -59.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 16:25
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 16:59
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -15.70%E -2.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.57%E -2.25%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -16.42%E -2.86%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.42%E -3.03%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.42%E -3.03%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.28%E -3.82%K -35.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 06:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-03-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-03-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-03-04 17:10
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-03-04 17:10