Language:English
Sorana Cirstea v Linda Noskova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Prediction 54.14%1.85fair odd
EV +19.10%
Edge +8.68%
Kelly +15.92%
Growth +3.04%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%53.07%54.38%57.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.771.752.2060.24%56.37%57.14%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Linda Noskova (Visit)
Prediction 45.86%2.18fair odd
EV +2.28%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%46.93%45.62%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.612.012.002.2362.11%49.71%50.00%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 54.14%; Linda Noskova (Visit): 45.86%. For Sorana Cirstea (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +19.10%E +8.68%K +15.92%G +3.04% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -26.16%E -16.25%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 18:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +8.27%E +4.14%K +8.27%G +0.684% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -16.07%E -8.78%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +8.27%E +4.14%K +8.27%G +0.684% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -17.44%E -9.69%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV +1.23%E +0.660%K +1.42%G +0.017% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -16.07%E -8.78%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 18:13 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +0.151%E +0.082%K +0.178%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -15.15%E -8.19%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV +0.151%E +0.082%K +0.178%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -16.07%E -8.78%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -9.19%E -4.64%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.40%E -6.49%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:12 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.47%E -0.809%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -10.56%E -5.42%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 18:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.56%E -5.42%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.56%E -5.42%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.02%E -5.68%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.02%E -5.68%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.10%E -1.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -3.64%E -2.04%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -11.48%E -5.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -11.94%E -6.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.72%E -2.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.60%E -2.21%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 18:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.52%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.77%E -1.31%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 17:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -12.40%E -6.49%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.89%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.89%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -4.14%E -1.98%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.89%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -7.43%E -4.34%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -2.31%E -1.08%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.43%E -4.34%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 18:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.43%E -4.34%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.06%E -2.44%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 17:57 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.51%E -5.04%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -9.59%E -5.74%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +2.28%E +1.02%K +1.85%G +0.042% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.59%E -5.74%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.59%E -5.74%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -10.13%E -6.11%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |