La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sorana Cirstea v Linda Noskova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Predicción 54.14%1.85momio equitativo
EV +19.10%
Ventaja +8.68%
Kelly +15.92%
Crecimiento +3.04%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.26%53.07%54.38%57.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.771.752.2060.24%56.37%57.14%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Linda Noskova (Visitante)
Predicción 45.86%2.18momio equitativo
EV +2.28%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +1.85%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.82%46.93%45.62%57.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.612.012.002.2362.11%49.71%50.00%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +19.10%E +8.68%K +15.92%G +3.04% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -26.16%E -16.25%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 18:13 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +8.27%E +4.14%K +8.27%G +0.684% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -16.07%E -8.78%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +8.27%E +4.14%K +8.27%G +0.684% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -17.44%E -9.69%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV +1.23%E +0.660%K +1.42%G +0.017% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -16.07%E -8.78%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 18:13 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +0.151%E +0.082%K +0.178%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -15.15%E -8.19%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV +0.151%E +0.082%K +0.178%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -16.07%E -8.78%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -9.19%E -4.64%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Caesars | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.40%E -6.49%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:12 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.47%E -0.809%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -10.56%E -5.42%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 18:11 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.56%E -5.42%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.56%E -5.42%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.02%E -5.68%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.02%E -5.68%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.10%E -1.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -3.64%E -2.04%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -11.48%E -5.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -11.94%E -6.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.72%E -2.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.60%E -2.21%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 18:02 |
| DraftKings | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.52%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.77%E -1.31%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 17:48 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -12.40%E -6.49%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.89%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.89%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -4.14%E -1.98%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.89%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -7.43%E -4.34%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -2.31%E -1.08%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.43%E -4.34%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 18:13 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.43%E -4.34%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.06%E -2.44%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 17:57 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.51%E -5.04%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -9.59%E -5.74%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +2.28%E +1.02%K +1.85%G +0.042% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.59%E -5.74%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.59%E -5.74%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -10.13%E -6.11%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |