L’École des cotes

Sorana Cirstea v Linda Noskova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Prévision 54.14%1.85cote équitable
EV +19.10%
Avantage +8.68%
Kelly +15.92%
Croissance +3.04%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.26%53.07%54.38%57.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.771.752.2060.24%56.37%57.14%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Linda Noskova (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.86%2.18cote équitable
EV +2.28%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.85%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.82%46.93%45.62%57.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.612.012.002.2362.11%49.71%50.00%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +19.10%E +8.68%K +15.92%G +3.04%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -26.16%E -16.25%K -42.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 18:13
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +8.27%E +4.14%K +8.27%G +0.684%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -16.07%E -8.78%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 18:14
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +8.27%E +4.14%K +8.27%G +0.684%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -17.44%E -9.69%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 18:15
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV +1.23%E +0.660%K +1.42%G +0.017%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -16.07%E -8.78%K -19.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 18:13
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +0.151%E +0.082%K +0.178%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -15.15%E -8.19%K -17.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 18:14
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV +0.151%E +0.082%K +0.178%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -16.07%E -8.78%K -19.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 18:14
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -9.19%E -4.64%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:14
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:15
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:10
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:14
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -4.90%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:14
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.40%E -6.49%K -13.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:12
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.47%E -0.809%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 18:14
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -10.56%E -5.42%K -11.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 18:14
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 18:11
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.56%E -5.42%K -11.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 18:14
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.56%E -5.42%K -11.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 18:14
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.02%E -5.68%K -11.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:14
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.02%E -5.68%K -11.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:14
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.10%E -1.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-08 18:05
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -3.64%E -2.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -11.48%E -5.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -11.94%E -6.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 18:15
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.72%E -2.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.60%E -2.21%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 18:02
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.52%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:14
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 18:00
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 18:15
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:59
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:15
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:15
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 18:00
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.77%E -1.31%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:48
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -12.40%E -6.49%K -13.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 17:59
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:00
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 17:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 18:14
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 18:14
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 18:14
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 18:15
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.89%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 18:00
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.89%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -4.14%E -1.98%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.89%E -4.00%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 18:15
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -7.43%E -4.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -2.31%E -1.08%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.43%E -4.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 18:13
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.43%E -4.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 18:14
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.06%E -2.44%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 17:57
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 18:00
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 18:00
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.51%E -5.04%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:59
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -9.59%E -5.74%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +2.28%E +1.02%K +1.85%G +0.042%4.7%2026-03-08 18:00
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.59%E -5.74%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 18:04
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.59%E -5.74%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 18:15
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -10.13%E -6.11%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 18:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-08 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-08 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-03-08 18:15
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-03-08 18:15
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%6.5%2026-03-08 18:15
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%7.0%2026-03-08 18:15