Language:English
Sonay Kartal v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sonay Kartal (Local)
Prediction 19.77%5.06fair odd
EV +18.63%
Edge +3.11%
Kelly +3.73%
Growth +0.694%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.97%19.74%19.90%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.754.576.0026.32%21.04%21.86%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 80.23%1.25fair odd
EV -0.518%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.40%80.26%80.10%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.181.181.2488.50%84.80%84.75%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sonay Kartal (Local): 19.77%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 80.23%. For Sonay Kartal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.06. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +18.63%E +3.11%K +3.73%G +0.694% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +16.66%E +2.82%K +3.40%G +0.566% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +13.69%E +2.38%K +2.88%G +0.395% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +10.92%E +1.95%K +2.37%G +0.259% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +10.92%E +1.95%K +2.37%G +0.259% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +10.72%E +1.92%K +2.33%G +0.250% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -9.34%E -8.27%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.66%EV +9.74%E +1.75%K +2.14%G +0.208% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.34%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +9.74%E +1.75%K +2.14%G +0.208% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 23:22 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +8.75%E +1.59%K +1.94%G +0.170% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 23:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +8.75%E +1.59%K +1.94%G +0.170% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 08:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +6.77%E +1.25%K +1.54%G +0.104% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 23:22 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +6.77%E +1.25%K +1.54%G +0.104% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +6.77%E +1.25%K +1.54%G +0.104% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -9.34%E -8.27%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 23:23 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.725%K +0.895%G +0.034% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 23:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.80%E +0.725%K +0.895%G +0.034% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.80%E +0.725%K +0.895%G +0.034% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 23:28 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -2.13%E -0.430%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.09%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.09%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 08:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.09%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 08:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -5.09%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -5.29%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.02%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.02%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.02%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -12.01%E -2.70%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 23:27 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.39%E -3.32%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.39%E -3.32%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.39%E -3.32%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.39%E -3.32%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -15.97%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.97%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.97%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -18.93%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -20.91%E -5.23%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -20.91%E -5.23%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -24.87%E -6.54%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -0.518%E -0.417%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 1.5% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82% | 2.3% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 2.9% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |