La escuela de los momios

Sonay Kartal v Elena Rybakina

Inicio: 2026-03-11 23:50 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sonay Kartal (Local)

Predicción 19.77%5.06momio equitativo
EV +18.63%
Ventaja +3.11%
Kelly +3.73%
Crecimiento +0.694%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.97%19.74%19.90%24.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.754.576.0026.32%21.04%21.86%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Predicción 80.23%1.25momio equitativo
EV -0.518%
Ventaja -0.417%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.40%80.26%80.10%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.181.181.2488.50%84.80%84.75%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +18.63%E +3.11%K +3.73%G +0.694%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 22:25
Betclic (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +16.66%E +2.82%K +3.40%G +0.566%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:19
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +13.69%E +2.38%K +2.88%G +0.395%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 22:10
LowVig.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +10.92%E +1.95%K +2.37%G +0.259%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 22:39
BetOnline.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +10.92%E +1.95%K +2.37%G +0.259%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 22:39
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +10.72%E +1.92%K +2.33%G +0.250%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -9.34%E -8.27%K -71.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 22:15
Pinnacle5.55I 18.02%NM 17.66%EV +9.74%E +1.75%K +2.14%G +0.208%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.34%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-11 23:19
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +9.74%E +1.75%K +2.14%G +0.208%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 23:22
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +8.75%E +1.59%K +1.94%G +0.170%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:04
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +8.75%E +1.59%K +1.94%G +0.170%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 08:00
GTbets5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +6.77%E +1.25%K +1.54%G +0.104%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 23:22
Fanatics5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +6.77%E +1.25%K +1.54%G +0.104%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 22:59
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +6.77%E +1.25%K +1.54%G +0.104%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -9.34%E -8.27%K -71.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:23
BetRivers5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:14
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.725%K +0.895%G +0.034%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:23
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.80%E +0.725%K +0.895%G +0.034%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 23:14
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.80%E +0.725%K +0.895%G +0.034%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 23:00
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 22:54
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:28
BetAnything5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:24
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 23:24
Marathon Bet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -2.13%E -0.430%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:29
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.09%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.09%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 08:00
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.09%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 08:00
Fliff4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -5.09%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 23:30
DraftKings4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -5.29%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 23:30
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:29
Coolbet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:30
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 23:24
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 23:29
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 23:30
Betsson4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 23:30
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.02%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 23:29
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.02%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 23:30
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.02%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 23:30
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -12.01%E -2.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 23:30
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:30
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:30
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:29
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:29
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:30
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:30
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:30
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 23:27
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.39%E -3.32%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 23:29
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.39%E -3.32%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 23:30
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.39%E -3.32%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 23:29
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.39%E -3.32%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 23:30
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -15.97%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 23:29
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.97%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 23:30
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.97%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 23:29
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:29
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:30
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:30
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:29
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:30
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -18.93%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 23:29
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -20.91%E -5.23%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:30
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -20.91%E -5.23%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:30
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -24.87%E -6.54%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -0.518%E -0.417%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-03-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-03-11 23:30
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-03-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82%2.3%2026-03-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%2.9%2026-03-11 23:30
Novig4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%5.2%2026-03-11 23:30