L’École des cotes

Sonay Kartal v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-11 23:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sonay Kartal (Local)

Prévision 19.77%5.06cote équitable
EV +18.63%
Avantage +3.11%
Kelly +3.73%
Croissance +0.694%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.97%19.74%19.90%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.754.576.0026.32%21.04%21.86%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.23%1.25cote équitable
EV -0.518%
Avantage -0.417%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.40%80.26%80.10%84.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.181.181.2488.50%84.80%84.75%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +18.63%E +3.11%K +3.73%G +0.694%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 22:25
Betclic (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +16.66%E +2.82%K +3.40%G +0.566%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:19
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +13.69%E +2.38%K +2.88%G +0.395%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 22:10
LowVig.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +10.92%E +1.95%K +2.37%G +0.259%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 22:39
BetOnline.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +10.92%E +1.95%K +2.37%G +0.259%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 22:39
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +10.72%E +1.92%K +2.33%G +0.250%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -9.34%E -8.27%K -71.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 22:15
Pinnacle5.55I 18.02%NM 17.66%EV +9.74%E +1.75%K +2.14%G +0.208%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.34%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-11 23:19
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV +9.74%E +1.75%K +2.14%G +0.208%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 23:22
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +8.75%E +1.59%K +1.94%G +0.170%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:04
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +8.75%E +1.59%K +1.94%G +0.170%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 08:00
GTbets5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +6.77%E +1.25%K +1.54%G +0.104%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 23:22
Fanatics5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +6.77%E +1.25%K +1.54%G +0.104%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 22:59
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +6.77%E +1.25%K +1.54%G +0.104%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -9.34%E -8.27%K -71.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:23
BetRivers5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:14
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.725%K +0.895%G +0.034%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:23
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.80%E +0.725%K +0.895%G +0.034%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 23:14
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.80%E +0.725%K +0.895%G +0.034%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 23:00
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 22:54
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:28
BetAnything5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:24
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 23:24
Marathon Bet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -2.13%E -0.430%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:29
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.09%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.09%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 08:00
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.09%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 08:00
Fliff4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -5.09%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.54%E -7.49%K -61.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 23:30
DraftKings4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -5.29%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 23:30
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:29
Coolbet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:30
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 23:24
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 23:29
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 23:30
Betsson4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 23:30
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.02%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 23:29
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.02%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 23:30
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.02%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 23:30
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -12.01%E -2.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 23:30
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:30
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:30
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:29
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:29
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:30
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:30
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:30
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.00%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 23:27
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.39%E -3.32%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 23:29
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.39%E -3.32%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 23:30
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.39%E -3.32%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 23:29
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.39%E -3.32%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 23:30
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -15.97%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 23:29
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.97%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 23:30
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.97%E -3.76%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 23:29
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:29
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:30
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:30
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:29
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.73%E -3.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:30
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -18.93%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 23:29
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -20.91%E -5.23%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:30
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -20.91%E -5.23%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:30
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -24.87%E -6.54%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -0.518%E -0.417%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-03-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-03-11 23:30
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-03-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82%2.3%2026-03-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%2.9%2026-03-11 23:30
Novig4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%5.2%2026-03-11 23:30