Language:English
Liudmila Samsonova v Ashlyn Krueger
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liudmila Samsonova (Local)
Prediction 57.48%1.74fair odd
EV +1.73%
Edge +0.979%
Kelly +2.25%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%58.32%56.57%66.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.631.631.7772.46%61.37%61.35%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ashlyn Krueger (Visit)
Prediction 42.52%2.35fair odd
EV +19.07%
Edge +6.81%
Kelly +10.59%
Growth +2.02%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.01%41.68%43.43%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.252.192.8048.78%44.47%45.66%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 57.48%; Ashlyn Krueger (Visit): 42.52%. For Ashlyn Krueger (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -20.68%E -14.99%K -54.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +19.07%E +6.81%K +10.59%G +2.02% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 21:17 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -14.94%E -10.09%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +14.81%E +5.49%K +8.71%G +1.29% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -13.21%E -8.75%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +10.56%E +4.06%K +6.60%G +0.697% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -14.36%E -9.64%K -29.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +10.56%E +4.06%K +6.60%G +0.697% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.79%E -9.19%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 21:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.79%E -9.19%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -10.91%E -7.04%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +4.18%E +1.71%K +2.88%G +0.121% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -14.36%E -9.64%K -29.31%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV +3.33%E +1.37%K +2.33%G +0.078% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.91%E -7.04%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +2.06%E +0.857%K +1.47%G +0.030% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -11.49%E -7.46%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV +2.06%E +0.857%K +1.47%G +0.030% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +2.06%E +0.857%K +1.47%G +0.030% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +0.781%E +0.330%K +0.570%G +0.004% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.91%E -7.04%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.069%E -0.030%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.91%E -7.04%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.069%E -0.030%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.89%E -4.25%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.20%E -0.955%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.76%E -6.22%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.20%E -0.955%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.31%E -3.87%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.05%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.31%E -3.87%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.05%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.31%E -3.87%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.05%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.89%E -4.25%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.32%E -1.92%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.16%E -3.13%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.45%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.89%E -4.25%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.45%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -9.76%E -6.22%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -7.30%E -3.35%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV +1.73%E +0.979%K +2.25%G +0.039% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -8.15%E -3.77%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.87%E -1.70%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.16%E -3.13%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -9.42%E -4.42%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:06 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -1.72%E -1.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -9.42%E -4.42%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.85%E -4.65%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.85%E -4.65%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -0.566%E -0.327%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -10.28%E -4.87%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -0.566%E -0.327%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -10.28%E -4.87%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.566%E -0.327%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -4.59%E -2.76%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -11.13%E -5.32%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.16%E -3.13%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -11.55%E -5.55%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 21:21 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -11.98%E -5.79%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.584%E +0.333%K +0.778%G +0.005% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -5.74%E -3.50%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 21:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:25 |