L’École des cotes

Liudmila Samsonova v Ashlyn Krueger

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Prévision 57.48%1.74cote équitable
EV +1.73%
Avantage +0.979%
Kelly +2.25%
Croissance +0.039%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%58.32%56.57%66.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.631.631.7772.46%61.37%61.35%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ashlyn Krueger (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.52%2.35cote équitable
EV +19.07%
Avantage +6.81%
Kelly +10.59%
Croissance +2.02%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.01%41.68%43.43%46.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.252.192.8048.78%44.47%45.66%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -20.68%E -14.99%K -54.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +19.07%E +6.81%K +10.59%G +2.02%8.2%2026-03-07 21:17
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -14.94%E -10.09%K -31.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +14.81%E +5.49%K +8.71%G +1.29%4.6%2026-03-07 21:24
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -13.21%E -8.75%K -25.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +10.56%E +4.06%K +6.60%G +0.697%4.7%2026-03-07 21:23
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -14.36%E -9.64%K -29.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +10.56%E +4.06%K +6.60%G +0.697%5.6%2026-03-07 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265%5.4%2026-03-07 21:25
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265%5.4%2026-03-07 21:25
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265%5.4%2026-03-07 21:25
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265%5.4%2026-03-07 21:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.79%E -9.19%K -27.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265%6.7%2026-03-07 21:23
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.79%E -9.19%K -27.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265%6.7%2026-03-07 21:25
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -10.91%E -7.04%K -19.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +4.18%E +1.71%K +2.88%G +0.121%5.3%2026-03-07 21:25
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -14.36%E -9.64%K -29.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV +3.33%E +1.37%K +2.33%G +0.078%8.3%2026-03-07 21:25
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.91%E -7.04%K -19.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +2.06%E +0.857%K +1.47%G +0.030%6.2%2026-03-07 21:24
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -11.49%E -7.46%K -21.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV +2.06%E +0.857%K +1.47%G +0.030%6.6%2026-03-07 21:25
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +2.06%E +0.857%K +1.47%G +0.030%7.0%2026-03-07 21:25
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +0.781%E +0.330%K +0.570%G +0.004%7.6%2026-03-07 21:24
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.91%E -7.04%K -19.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.069%E -0.030%K -0.051%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:25
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.91%E -7.04%K -19.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.069%E -0.030%K -0.051%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:24
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.89%E -4.25%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.20%E -0.955%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:24
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.76%E -6.22%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.20%E -0.955%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:25
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.31%E -3.87%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.05%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:24
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.31%E -3.87%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.05%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:24
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.31%E -3.87%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.05%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:24
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.89%E -4.25%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.32%E -1.92%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 21:24
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:24
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:24
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:24
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:24
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.16%E -3.13%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.45%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:24
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.89%E -4.25%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.45%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -9.76%E -6.22%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -7.30%E -3.35%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 21:24
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV +1.73%E +0.979%K +2.25%G +0.039%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -8.15%E -3.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-07 20:59
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 21:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 21:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.87%E -1.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.16%E -3.13%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:25
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -9.42%E -4.42%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:06
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -1.72%E -1.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -9.42%E -4.42%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:00
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.85%E -4.65%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.85%E -4.65%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -0.566%E -0.327%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -10.28%E -4.87%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:05
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -0.566%E -0.327%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -10.28%E -4.87%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:00
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.566%E -0.327%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:00
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:05
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 21:24
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -4.59%E -2.76%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 21:24
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 21:25
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -11.13%E -5.32%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.16%E -3.13%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -11.55%E -5.55%K -10.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 21:21
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -11.98%E -5.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:00
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.584%E +0.333%K +0.778%G +0.005%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 21:00
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:00
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:00
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:24
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:24
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -5.74%E -3.50%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 21:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-07 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-07 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.9%2026-03-07 21:24
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-03-07 21:25
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%5.1%2026-03-07 21:25
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%6.4%2026-03-07 21:25