La escuela de los momios

Liudmila Samsonova v Ashlyn Krueger

Inicio: 2026-03-07 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Predicción 57.48%1.74momio equitativo
EV +1.73%
Ventaja +0.979%
Kelly +2.25%
Crecimiento +0.039%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.95%58.32%56.57%66.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.631.631.7772.46%61.37%61.35%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ashlyn Krueger (Visitante)

Predicción 42.52%2.35momio equitativo
EV +19.07%
Ventaja +6.81%
Kelly +10.59%
Crecimiento +2.02%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.01%41.68%43.43%46.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.252.192.8048.78%44.47%45.66%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -20.68%E -14.99%K -54.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +19.07%E +6.81%K +10.59%G +2.02%8.2%2026-03-07 21:17
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -14.94%E -10.09%K -31.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +14.81%E +5.49%K +8.71%G +1.29%4.6%2026-03-07 21:24
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -13.21%E -8.75%K -25.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +10.56%E +4.06%K +6.60%G +0.697%4.7%2026-03-07 21:23
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -14.36%E -9.64%K -29.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +10.56%E +4.06%K +6.60%G +0.697%5.6%2026-03-07 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265%5.4%2026-03-07 21:25
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265%5.4%2026-03-07 21:25
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265%5.4%2026-03-07 21:25
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265%5.4%2026-03-07 21:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.79%E -9.19%K -27.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265%6.7%2026-03-07 21:23
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.79%E -9.19%K -27.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +6.31%E +2.52%K +4.21%G +0.265%6.7%2026-03-07 21:25
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -10.91%E -7.04%K -19.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +4.18%E +1.71%K +2.88%G +0.121%5.3%2026-03-07 21:25
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -14.36%E -9.64%K -29.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV +3.33%E +1.37%K +2.33%G +0.078%8.3%2026-03-07 21:25
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.91%E -7.04%K -19.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +2.06%E +0.857%K +1.47%G +0.030%6.2%2026-03-07 21:24
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -11.49%E -7.46%K -21.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV +2.06%E +0.857%K +1.47%G +0.030%6.6%2026-03-07 21:25
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +2.06%E +0.857%K +1.47%G +0.030%7.0%2026-03-07 21:25
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -12.06%E -7.88%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +0.781%E +0.330%K +0.570%G +0.004%7.6%2026-03-07 21:24
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.91%E -7.04%K -19.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.069%E -0.030%K -0.051%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:25
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.91%E -7.04%K -19.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.069%E -0.030%K -0.051%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:24
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.89%E -4.25%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.20%E -0.955%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:24
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.76%E -6.22%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.20%E -0.955%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:25
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.31%E -3.87%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.05%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:24
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.31%E -3.87%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.05%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:24
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.31%E -3.87%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.05%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:24
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.89%E -4.25%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.32%E -1.92%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 21:24
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:24
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:24
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:24
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.17%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:24
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.16%E -3.13%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.45%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:24
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.89%E -4.25%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.45%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -9.76%E -6.22%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -7.30%E -3.35%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 21:24
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV +1.73%E +0.979%K +2.25%G +0.039%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -8.15%E -3.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-07 20:59
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 21:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 21:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.87%E -1.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.16%E -3.13%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.57%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:25
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -9.42%E -4.42%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:06
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -1.72%E -1.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -9.42%E -4.42%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:00
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.85%E -4.65%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.85%E -4.65%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -0.566%E -0.327%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -10.28%E -4.87%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:05
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -0.566%E -0.327%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -10.28%E -4.87%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:00
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.566%E -0.327%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:00
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:05
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 21:24
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -4.59%E -2.76%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 21:24
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.46%E -4.64%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.70%E -5.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 21:25
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -1.14%E -0.663%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -11.13%E -5.32%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.16%E -3.13%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -11.55%E -5.55%K -10.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 21:21
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -11.98%E -5.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:00
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.584%E +0.333%K +0.778%G +0.005%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 21:00
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:00
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:00
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:24
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.29%E -1.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:24
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -5.74%E -3.50%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -12.83%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 21:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-07 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-07 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.9%2026-03-07 21:24
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-03-07 21:25
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%5.1%2026-03-07 21:25
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%6.4%2026-03-07 21:25