Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linda Noskova v Talia Gibson

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 20:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linda Noskova (Local)

Prediction 73.80%1.35fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -10.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.04%73.83%73.77%76.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.291.291.3181.97%77.77%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Talia Gibson (Visit)

Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV +4.26%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.061%

assuming max odds 3.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.46%26.17%26.23%27.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.633.653.9829.85%27.56%27.40%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linda Noskova (Local): 73.80%; Talia Gibson (Visit): 26.20%. For Talia Gibson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.27%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV +4.26%E +1.07%K +1.43%G +0.061%7.1%2026-03-12 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 75.14%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.86%EV +2.95%E +0.751%K +1.01%G +0.030%2.4%2026-03-12 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +2.16%E +0.555%K +0.746%G +0.016%4.4%2026-03-12 20:00
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.455%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 19:57
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.455%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 20:00
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 20:00
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.74%E -6.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -2.55%E -0.686%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:59
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 19:59
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 20:00
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 20:00
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:59
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 20:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.01%E -5.56%K -26.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.17%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.32%E -2.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.32%E -2.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 20:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 20:05
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.16%EV -3.32%E -2.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.84%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:05
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -6.74%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:59
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 19:59
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.32%E -2.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 20:00
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 20:00
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:59
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 20:00
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:59
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 20:00
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.74%E -6.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 19:57
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.23%EV -7.74%E -6.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.77%EV -10.41%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 20:04
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 20:00
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 20:00
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-12 20:05
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-12 20:05
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-12 20:05
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%3.2%2026-03-12 20:05