La escuela de los momios

Linda Noskova v Talia Gibson

Inicio: 2026-03-12 20:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Predicción 73.80%1.35momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -2.53%
Kelly -10.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.04%73.83%73.77%76.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.291.291.3181.97%77.77%77.52%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Talia Gibson (Visitante)

Predicción 26.20%3.82momio equitativo
EV +4.26%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.061%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.46%26.17%26.23%27.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.633.653.9829.85%27.56%27.40%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.27%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV +4.26%E +1.07%K +1.43%G +0.061%7.1%2026-03-12 20:00
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 75.14%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.86%EV +2.95%E +0.751%K +1.01%G +0.030%2.4%2026-03-12 20:00
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +2.16%E +0.555%K +0.746%G +0.016%4.4%2026-03-12 20:00
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.455%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 19:57
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.455%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 20:00
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 20:00
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 20:00
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 20:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.74%E -6.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -2.55%E -0.686%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:59
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 19:59
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 20:00
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 20:00
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:59
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:59
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 20:00
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 20:00
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.01%E -5.56%K -26.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.17%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:59
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.32%E -2.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.32%E -2.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:59
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 20:00
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:00
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 20:05
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.16%EV -3.32%E -2.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.84%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:05
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -6.74%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:59
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 19:59
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 20:05
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.32%E -2.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 20:00
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 20:00
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:59
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:59
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 20:00
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:59
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 20:00
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.74%E -6.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 19:57
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.23%EV -7.74%E -6.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.77%EV -10.41%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 20:04
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 20:00
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 20:00
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-12 20:05
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-12 20:05
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-12 20:05
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%3.2%2026-03-12 20:05