L’École des cotes

Linda Noskova v Talia Gibson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 20:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Prévision 73.80%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -2.53%
Kelly -10.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.04%73.83%73.77%76.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.291.291.3181.97%77.77%77.52%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Talia Gibson (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.20%3.82cote équitable
EV +4.26%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.061%

avec la cote maximale 3.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.46%26.17%26.23%27.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.633.653.9829.85%27.56%27.40%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -9.96%E -8.16%K -45.27%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV +4.26%E +1.07%K +1.43%G +0.061%7.1%2026-03-12 20:00
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 75.14%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.86%EV +2.95%E +0.751%K +1.01%G +0.030%2.4%2026-03-12 20:00
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +2.16%E +0.555%K +0.746%G +0.016%4.4%2026-03-12 20:00
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.455%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 19:57
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.455%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 20:00
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 20:00
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 20:00
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 20:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.74%E -6.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.77%E -0.471%K -0.642%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -2.55%E -0.686%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:59
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 19:59
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.08%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 20:00
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 20:00
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:59
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:59
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 20:00
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 20:00
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.01%E -5.56%K -26.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.17%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:59
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.32%E -2.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.32%E -2.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:59
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 20:00
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:00
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 20:05
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 20:05
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.16%EV -3.32%E -2.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.84%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:05
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -6.74%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:59
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 19:59
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 20:05
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.32%E -2.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 20:00
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 20:00
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:59
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:59
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 20:00
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:59
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 20:00
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.74%E -6.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 19:57
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.23%EV -7.74%E -6.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.77%EV -10.41%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 20:04
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.79%E -3.72%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 20:00
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 20:00
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-12 20:05
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-12 20:05
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-12 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-12 20:05
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%3.2%2026-03-12 20:05