Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanlana Tararudee v Sonay Kartal

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanlana Tararudee (Local)

Prediction 33.96%2.94fair odd
EV +16.82%
Edge +4.89%
Kelly +6.89%
Growth +1.16%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.73%33.82%34.52%37.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.852.853.4441.67%35.09%35.09%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sonay Kartal (Visit)

Prediction 66.04%1.51fair odd
EV -0.278%
Edge -0.184%
Kelly -0.545%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.18%66.18%65.48%72.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.411.401.5175.76%70.90%71.43%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanlana Tararudee (Local): 33.96%; Sonay Kartal (Visit): 66.04%. For Lanlana Tararudee (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +16.82%E +4.89%K +6.89%G +1.16%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -12.83%E -9.72%K -40.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 18:59
Pinnacle🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.15%EV +9.35%E +2.90%K +4.21%G +0.394%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.85%EV -8.20%E -5.90%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV +7.99%E +2.51%K +3.67%G +0.293%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -10.84%E -8.03%K -30.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV +7.99%E +2.51%K +3.67%G +0.293%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -11.51%E -8.59%K -33.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:08
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -9.52%E -6.95%K -25.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:09
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:07
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:07
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -10.84%E -8.03%K -30.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV +6.63%E +2.11%K +3.10%G +0.205%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV +6.63%E +2.11%K +3.10%G +0.205%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 19:10
GTbets🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV +6.63%E +2.11%K +3.10%G +0.205%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -9.52%E -6.95%K -25.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 19:06
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.27%E +1.70%K +2.51%G +0.132%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 18:59
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +5.27%E +1.70%K +2.51%G +0.132%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:07
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +5.27%E +1.70%K +2.51%G +0.132%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:07
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV +3.58%E +1.17%K +1.74%G +0.062%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 19:07
SportsBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.12%EV +2.22%E +0.736%K +1.10%G +0.024%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.88%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:10
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:19
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:10
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:08
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:17
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.179%E +0.061%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 19:17
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 19:07
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:15
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.91%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.91%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-05 19:15
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:20
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:19
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:20
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.26%E -1.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:19
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.92%E -1.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:20
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-05 19:20
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:15
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:15
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -13.40%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -1.60%E -1.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 19:20
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -13.74%E -5.41%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -0.278%E -0.184%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:20
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -2.26%E -1.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:20
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -2.92%E -1.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -18.50%E -7.71%K -13.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -3.58%E -2.45%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Novig2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.39%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20