La escuela de los momios

Lanlana Tararudee v Sonay Kartal

Inicio: 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Lanlana Tararudee (Local)

Predicción 33.96%2.94momio equitativo
EV +16.82%
Ventaja +4.89%
Kelly +6.89%
Crecimiento +1.16%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.73%33.82%34.52%37.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.852.853.4441.67%35.09%35.09%29.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sonay Kartal (Visitante)

Predicción 66.04%1.51momio equitativo
EV -0.278%
Ventaja -0.184%
Kelly -0.545%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.18%66.18%65.48%72.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.411.401.5175.76%70.90%71.43%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +16.82%E +4.89%K +6.89%G +1.16%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -12.83%E -9.72%K -40.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 18:59
Pinnacle3.22I 31.06%NM 30.15%EV +9.35%E +2.90%K +4.21%G +0.394%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.85%EV -8.20%E -5.90%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 19:10
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV +7.99%E +2.51%K +3.67%G +0.293%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -10.84%E -8.03%K -30.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 18:59
Unibet (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV +7.99%E +2.51%K +3.67%G +0.293%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -11.51%E -8.59%K -33.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:08
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -9.52%E -6.95%K -25.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:09
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:07
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:07
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -10.84%E -8.03%K -30.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:10
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:00
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV +6.63%E +2.11%K +3.10%G +0.205%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 19:10
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV +6.63%E +2.11%K +3.10%G +0.205%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 19:10
GTbets3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV +6.63%E +2.11%K +3.10%G +0.205%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -9.52%E -6.95%K -25.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 19:06
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.27%E +1.70%K +2.51%G +0.132%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 18:59
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +5.27%E +1.70%K +2.51%G +0.132%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:07
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +5.27%E +1.70%K +2.51%G +0.132%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:07
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV +3.58%E +1.17%K +1.74%G +0.062%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 19:07
SportsBet3.01I 33.22%NM 31.12%EV +2.22%E +0.736%K +1.10%G +0.024%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.88%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:10
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:19
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:10
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:08
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:17
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.179%E +0.061%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 19:17
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 19:07
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:15
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.91%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.91%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-05 19:15
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:20
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:19
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.26%E -1.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:19
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.92%E -1.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:20
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-05 19:20
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:15
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:20
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:15
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -13.40%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -1.60%E -1.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 19:20
DraftKings2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -13.74%E -5.41%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -0.278%E -0.184%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:20
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -2.26%E -1.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:20
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -2.92%E -1.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -18.50%E -7.71%K -13.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -3.58%E -2.45%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Novig2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.39%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20