L’École des cotes

Lanlana Tararudee v Sonay Kartal

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lanlana Tararudee (Local)

Prévision 33.96%2.94cote équitable
EV +16.82%
Avantage +4.89%
Kelly +6.89%
Croissance +1.16%

avec la cote maximale 3.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.73%33.82%34.52%37.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.852.853.4441.67%35.09%35.09%29.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sonay Kartal (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.04%1.51cote équitable
EV -0.278%
Avantage -0.184%
Kelly -0.545%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.18%66.18%65.48%72.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.411.401.5175.76%70.90%71.43%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +16.82%E +4.89%K +6.89%G +1.16%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -12.83%E -9.72%K -40.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 18:59
Pinnacle3.22I 31.06%NM 30.15%EV +9.35%E +2.90%K +4.21%G +0.394%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.85%EV -8.20%E -5.90%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 19:10
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV +7.99%E +2.51%K +3.67%G +0.293%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -10.84%E -8.03%K -30.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 18:59
Unibet (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV +7.99%E +2.51%K +3.67%G +0.293%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -11.51%E -8.59%K -33.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:08
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -9.52%E -6.95%K -25.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:09
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:07
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:07
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -10.84%E -8.03%K -30.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:10
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +6.97%E +2.21%K +3.24%G +0.226%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:00
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV +6.63%E +2.11%K +3.10%G +0.205%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 19:10
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV +6.63%E +2.11%K +3.10%G +0.205%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 19:10
GTbets3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV +6.63%E +2.11%K +3.10%G +0.205%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -9.52%E -6.95%K -25.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 19:06
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.27%E +1.70%K +2.51%G +0.132%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 18:59
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +5.27%E +1.70%K +2.51%G +0.132%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:07
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +5.27%E +1.70%K +2.51%G +0.132%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:07
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV +3.58%E +1.17%K +1.74%G +0.062%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 19:07
SportsBet3.01I 33.22%NM 31.12%EV +2.22%E +0.736%K +1.10%G +0.024%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.88%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:10
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:19
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:10
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:08
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +1.88%E +0.626%K +0.939%G +0.018%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -12.17%E -9.15%K -36.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:17
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.179%E +0.061%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 19:17
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:20
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.52%E -0.524%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 19:07
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:15
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.91%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -4.91%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-05 19:15
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:20
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:19
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.26%E -1.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:19
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.92%E -1.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:20
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-05 19:20
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:15
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:20
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:15
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:20
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -13.40%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -1.60%E -1.07%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 19:20
DraftKings2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -13.74%E -5.41%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -0.278%E -0.184%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:20
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.939%E -0.626%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -2.26%E -1.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 19:20
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -2.92%E -1.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -18.50%E -7.71%K -13.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -3.58%E -2.45%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.6%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-03-05 19:20
Novig2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.39%6.4%2026-03-05 19:20