StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Kayla Day v Iga Swiatek

Matchstart: 2026-03-07 22:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Kayla Day (Hemma)

Prognos 5.67%17.63rättvist odds
EV +98.54%
Fördel +2.82%
Kelly +2.90%
Tillväxt +2.86%

med antagandet om högsta odds 35.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
2.80%5.50%5.88%8.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
11.0017.8416.0035.009.09%5.61%6.25%2.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Borta)

Prognos 94.33%1.06rättvist odds
EV -2.84%
Fördel -2.76%
Kelly -94.76%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.03

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
91.51%94.50%94.12%97.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.70%99.01%97.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Kayla Day (Hemma): 5.67%; Iga Swiatek (Borta): 94.33%. För Kayla Day (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 17.63. 14 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 35.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +98.54%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +98.54%E +2.82%K +2.90%G +2.86%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-07 21:29
FanDuel🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40%EV +64.50%E +2.22%K +2.30%G +1.49%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%1.5%2026-03-07 21:29
Winamax (DE)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +64.50%E +2.22%K +2.30%G +1.49%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-07 21:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +64.50%E +2.22%K +2.30%G +1.49%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-07 21:30
Bovada🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +64.50%E +2.22%K +2.30%G +1.49%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +58.83%E +2.10%K +2.18%G +1.28%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-07 21:29
Coral🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +47.49%E +1.83%K +1.90%G +0.902%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 21:29
theScore Bet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +47.49%E +1.83%K +1.90%G +0.902%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 21:19
Fanatics🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +47.49%E +1.83%K +1.90%G +0.902%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 21:30
Pinnacle🎯24.12I 4.15%NM 4.10%EV +36.82%E +1.53%K +1.59%G +0.586%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.90%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%1.2%2026-03-07 21:20
Paddy Power🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +19.12%E +0.911%K +0.956%G +0.183%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 21:29
BetMGM🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +7.78%E +0.409%K +0.432%G +0.034%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +7.78%E +0.409%K +0.432%G +0.034%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:19
Betway🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +7.78%E +0.409%K +0.432%G +0.034%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:29
BoyleSports🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 21:29
Casumo🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:24
Unibet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:24
Unibet (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:24
betPARX🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:30
Unibet (FR)🎯16.20I 6.17%NM 5.92%EV -8.11%E -0.500%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.08%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:28
LeoVegas🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:15
Grosvenor🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:15
Bally Bet🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:14
Unibet (NL)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:25
NetBet (FR)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:15
Unibet (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:10
BetRivers🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:25
NordicBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:29
Betsson🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:29
SportsBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:20
888sport🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:29
PlayUp🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:20
Caesars🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:29
TABtouch🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:14
Neds🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:14
Marathon Bet🎯14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -19.17%E -1.35%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Betr (AU)🎯14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -19.17%E -1.35%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:14
LowVig.ag🎯14.16I 7.06%NM 6.78%EV -19.68%E -1.39%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.22%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯14.16I 7.06%NM 6.78%EV -19.68%E -1.39%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.22%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 21:15
Bet Right🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -20.58%E -1.47%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:15
Betclic (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -20.58%E -1.47%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 21:04
Codere (IT)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -26.26%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:14
Everygame🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -26.26%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:12
Virgin Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -26.26%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 21:24
LiveScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -26.26%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 21:25
William Hill🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -31.93%E -2.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:14
Bet Victor🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -37.60%E -3.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:23
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets35.97I 2.78%NM 2.76%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24%0.8%2026-03-07 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%1.0%2026-03-07 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%1.0%2026-03-07 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36%1.7%2026-03-07 21:30
Matchbook30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%2.3%2026-03-07 21:30
Novig27.78I 3.60%NM 3.47%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.53%3.6%2026-03-07 21:30