La scuola delle quote

Kayla Day v Iga Swiatek

Inizio: 2026-03-07 22:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kayla Day (Casa)

Previsione 5.67%17.63quota equa
EV +98.54%
Vantaggio +2.82%
Kelly +2.90%
Crescita +2.86%

ipotizzando la quota massima 35.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
2.80%5.50%5.88%8.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
11.0017.8416.0035.009.09%5.61%6.25%2.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Iga Swiatek (Trasferta)

Previsione 94.33%1.06quota equa
EV -2.84%
Vantaggio -2.76%
Kelly -94.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
91.51%94.50%94.12%97.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.70%99.01%97.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +98.54%E +2.82%K +2.90%G +2.86%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-07 21:29
FanDuel29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40%EV +64.50%E +2.22%K +2.30%G +1.49%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%1.5%2026-03-07 21:29
Winamax (DE)29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +64.50%E +2.22%K +2.30%G +1.49%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-07 21:28
Ladbrokes (UK)29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +64.50%E +2.22%K +2.30%G +1.49%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-07 21:30
Bovada29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +64.50%E +2.22%K +2.30%G +1.49%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 21:30
Winamax (FR)28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +58.83%E +2.10%K +2.18%G +1.28%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-07 21:29
Coral26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +47.49%E +1.83%K +1.90%G +0.902%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 21:29
theScore Bet26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +47.49%E +1.83%K +1.90%G +0.902%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 21:19
Fanatics26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +47.49%E +1.83%K +1.90%G +0.902%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 21:30
Pinnacle24.12I 4.15%NM 4.10%EV +36.82%E +1.53%K +1.59%G +0.586%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.90%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%1.2%2026-03-07 21:20
Paddy Power21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +19.12%E +0.911%K +0.956%G +0.183%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 21:29
BetMGM19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +7.78%E +0.409%K +0.432%G +0.034%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:29
PointsBet (AU)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +7.78%E +0.409%K +0.432%G +0.034%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:19
Betway19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +7.78%E +0.409%K +0.432%G +0.034%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:29
BoyleSports17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 21:29
Casumo17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:24
Unibet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:24
Unibet (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:24
betPARX17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:29
Hard Rock Bet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:24
888sport (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:30
Mr Green (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:30
Unibet (FR)16.20I 6.17%NM 5.92%EV -8.11%E -0.500%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.08%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:28
LeoVegas16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:15
Grosvenor16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:15
Bally Bet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:14
Unibet (NL)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:25
ATG (SE)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:25
NetBet (FR)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:15
Unibet (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:10
BetRivers15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:00
Svenska Spel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:25
NordicBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:29
Betsson15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:29
SportsBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:20
888sport15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:29
PlayUp15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:20
Caesars15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:29
TABtouch15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:14
Neds15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:14
Marathon Bet14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -19.17%E -1.35%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Betr (AU)14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -19.17%E -1.35%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:14
LowVig.ag14.16I 7.06%NM 6.78%EV -19.68%E -1.39%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.22%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 21:15
BetOnline.ag14.16I 7.06%NM 6.78%EV -19.68%E -1.39%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.22%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 21:15
Bet Right14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -20.58%E -1.47%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:15
Betclic (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -20.58%E -1.47%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 21:04
Codere (IT)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -26.26%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:14
Everygame13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -26.26%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:12
Virgin Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -26.26%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 21:24
LiveScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -26.26%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 21:25
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -31.93%E -2.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:14
Bet Victor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -37.60%E -3.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:23
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets35.97I 2.78%NM 2.76%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24%0.8%2026-03-07 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%1.0%2026-03-07 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%1.0%2026-03-07 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36%1.7%2026-03-07 21:30
Matchbook30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%2.3%2026-03-07 21:30
Novig27.78I 3.60%NM 3.47%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.53%3.6%2026-03-07 21:30