StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kayla Day v Iga Swiatek

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-07 22:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kayla Day (Heim)

Prognose 5.67%17.63faire Quote
EV +98.54%
Vorteil +2.82%
Kelly +2.90%
Wachstum +2.86%

bei einer Höchstquote von 35.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
2.80%5.50%5.88%8.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
11.0017.8416.0035.009.09%5.61%6.25%2.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Auswärts)

Prognose 94.33%1.06faire Quote
EV -2.84%
Vorteil -2.76%
Kelly -94.76%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.03

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
91.51%94.50%94.12%97.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.70%99.01%97.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Kayla Day (Heim): 5.67%; Iga Swiatek (Auswärts): 94.33%. Für Kayla Day (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 17.63. 14 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 35.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +98.54%.

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +98.54%E +2.82%K +2.90%G +2.86%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-07 21:29
FanDuel🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40%EV +64.50%E +2.22%K +2.30%G +1.49%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%1.5%2026-03-07 21:29
Winamax (DE)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +64.50%E +2.22%K +2.30%G +1.49%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-07 21:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +64.50%E +2.22%K +2.30%G +1.49%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-07 21:30
Bovada🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +64.50%E +2.22%K +2.30%G +1.49%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +58.83%E +2.10%K +2.18%G +1.28%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-07 21:29
Coral🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +47.49%E +1.83%K +1.90%G +0.902%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 21:29
theScore Bet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +47.49%E +1.83%K +1.90%G +0.902%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 21:19
Fanatics🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +47.49%E +1.83%K +1.90%G +0.902%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 21:30
Pinnacle🎯24.12I 4.15%NM 4.10%EV +36.82%E +1.53%K +1.59%G +0.586%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.90%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%1.2%2026-03-07 21:20
Paddy Power🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +19.12%E +0.911%K +0.956%G +0.183%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 21:29
BetMGM🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +7.78%E +0.409%K +0.432%G +0.034%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +7.78%E +0.409%K +0.432%G +0.034%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:19
Betway🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +7.78%E +0.409%K +0.432%G +0.034%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:29
BoyleSports🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 21:29
Casumo🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:24
Unibet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:24
Unibet (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:24
betPARX🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -3.57%E -0.210%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:30
Unibet (FR)🎯16.20I 6.17%NM 5.92%EV -8.11%E -0.500%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.08%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:28
LeoVegas🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:15
Grosvenor🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:15
Bally Bet🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:14
Unibet (NL)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:25
NetBet (FR)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -9.24%E -0.577%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -5.67%E -5.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:15
Unibet (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:10
BetRivers🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:25
NordicBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:29
Betsson🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:29
SportsBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:20
888sport🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:29
PlayUp🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:20
Caesars🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:29
TABtouch🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:14
Neds🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -14.91%E -0.994%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:14
Marathon Bet🎯14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -19.17%E -1.35%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Betr (AU)🎯14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -19.17%E -1.35%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 21:14
LowVig.ag🎯14.16I 7.06%NM 6.78%EV -19.68%E -1.39%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.22%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯14.16I 7.06%NM 6.78%EV -19.68%E -1.39%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.22%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 21:15
Bet Right🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -20.58%E -1.47%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:15
Betclic (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -20.58%E -1.47%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 21:04
Codere (IT)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -26.26%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:14
Everygame🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -26.26%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:12
Virgin Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -26.26%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 21:24
LiveScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -26.26%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.73%E -4.68%K -472.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 21:25
William Hill🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -31.93%E -2.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.84%E -2.76%K -94.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:14
Bet Victor🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -37.60%E -3.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.79%E -3.71%K -189.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:23
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets35.97I 2.78%NM 2.76%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24%0.8%2026-03-07 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%1.0%2026-03-07 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%1.0%2026-03-07 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36%1.7%2026-03-07 21:30
Matchbook30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%2.3%2026-03-07 21:30
Novig27.78I 3.60%NM 3.47%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.53%3.6%2026-03-07 21:30