Language:English
Katie Volynets v Jelena Ostapenko
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katie Volynets (Local)
Prediction 37.70%2.65fair odd
EV +47.42%
Edge +12.13%
Kelly +16.30%
Growth +7.73%
assuming max odds 3.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.81%36.57%37.78%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.552.483.9143.48%39.21%40.32%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jelena Ostapenko (Visit)
Prediction 62.30%1.61fair odd
EV -0.326%
Edge -0.204%
Kelly -0.544%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%63.43%62.22%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.501.521.6077.52%66.75%65.57%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Volynets (Local): 37.70%; Jelena Ostapenko (Visit): 62.30%. For Katie Volynets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +47.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.81%EV +47.42%E +12.13%K +16.30%G +7.73% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.19%EV -19.64%E -15.22%K -67.72%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +24.42%E +7.40%K +10.62%G +2.59% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -17.15%E -12.89%K -51.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +16.88%E +5.45%K +8.04%G +1.36% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -15.90%E -11.78%K -45.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +13.11%E +4.37%K +6.56%G +0.860% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 20:52 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +13.11%E +4.37%K +6.56%G +0.860% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 20:53 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +13.11%E +4.37%K +6.56%G +0.860% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 20:53 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +8.59%E +2.98%K +4.57%G +0.392% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -15.28%E -11.23%K -42.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.69%E +1.34%K +2.11%G +0.078% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -0.084%E -0.032%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -12.16%E -8.63%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.22%E -0.464%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.29%E -7.15%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.42%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -9.05%E -6.20%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.29%E -7.15%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.61%E -1.82%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.61%E -1.82%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 20:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 20:42 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 20:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.12%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 20:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 20:36 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 20:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -8.00%E -3.28%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -8.00%E -3.28%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.57%E -0.995%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 20:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 20:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 20:37 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 20:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -0.326%E -0.204%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 20:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.50%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.50%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 20:36 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 20:36 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 20:36 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17% | 2.5% | 2026-03-07 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 20:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 20:55 |